Baptism of Fire
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 37 (7 on the archive and 30 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 16
Defender wins (Russian): 21
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1066 | 1000 | 59% | 2021-09-14 | | Won |
| 1289 | 1132 | 71% | 2021-03-17 | | Won |
| 1171 | 1219 | 43% | 2019-04-03 | | Won |
| 938 | 1218 | 17% | 2017-02-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1226 | 21% | 2016-06-11 | | Lost |
| 695 | 1062 | 11% | 2014-03-01 | | Lost |
| 1005 | 1050 | 44% | 2005-01-15 | | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1023.4 vs 1129.6 has a 35.18% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).