The Road to Lyon
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18
Attacker wins (German): 13
Defender wins (French): 3
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1159 | 934 | 79% | 2023-01-29 | Won |
1037 | 1028 | 51% | 2021-11-19 | Won |
1330 | 1036 | 84% | 2020-11-28 | Won |
998 | 1057 | 42% | 2020-11-06 | Lost |
1097 | 1000 | 64% | 2017-05-09 | Won |
851 | 986 | 31% | 2017-03-04 | Won |
851 | 986 | 31% | 2017-03-04 | Won |
1184 | 994 | 75% | 2014-10-05 | Won |
1000 | 967 | 55% | 2012-10-26 | Won |
1078 | 702 | 90% | 2012-03-17 | Won |
702 | 1010 | 15% | 2012-03-16 | Won |
1093 | 1082 | 52% | 2010-04-01 | Won |
1074 | 1036 | 55% | 2007-04-10 | Won |
862 | 1122 | 18% | 2007-03-30 | Won |
1323 | 1102 | 78% | 2006-09-08 | Tied |
1287 | 1323 | 45% | 2006-06-22 | Tied |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2004-07-06 | Lost |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2004-06-30 | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1062.2 vs 1031.1 has a 54.47% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).