Ghost of Napoleon
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 4
Defender wins (Russian): 6
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1216 | 932 | 84% | 2018-09-02 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1054 | 45% | 2014-11-14 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1054 | 45% | 2014-11-07 | Lost |
| 1148 | 994 | 71% | 2012-09-08 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1050 | 57% | 2010-05-17 | Won |
| 1096 | 948 | 70% | 2010-01-01 | Won |
| 1030 | 1125 | 37% | 2006-01-01 | Lost |
| 1218 | 1064 | 71% | 1999-11-24 | Won |
| 1125 | 1098 | 54% | 1999-09-26 | Won |
| 1125 | 1098 | 54% | 1999-09-26 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1109 vs 1041.7 has a 59.57% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).