Maczek Fire Brigade
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 134 (30 on the archive and 104 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 63
Defender wins (Polish): 70
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 992 | 964 | 54% | 2025-05-09 | Won |
| 940 | 937 | 50% | 2024-03-20 | Won |
| 1040 | 1049 | 49% | 2023-09-26 | Won |
| 946 | 1228 | 16% | 2023-06-25 | Lost |
| 904 | 1131 | 21% | 2023-02-15 | Lost |
| 904 | 1131 | 21% | 2022-12-13 | Lost |
| 1029 | 780 | 81% | 2021-01-20 | Won |
| 1135 | 1002 | 68% | 2020-05-03 | Lost |
| 1027 | 984 | 56% | 2019-08-30 | Lost |
| 1178 | 1135 | 56% | 2019-01-11 | Won |
| 1077 | 890 | 75% | 2017-04-18 | Won |
| 1071 | 946 | 67% | 2013-02-27 | Won |
| 1014 | 1071 | 42% | 2012-05-26 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1044 | 51% | 2012-05-17 | Won |
| 1099 | 1085 | 52% | 2012-02-26 | Lost |
| 1108 | 1202 | 37% | 2012-01-03 | Won |
| 1149 | 1140 | 51% | 2011-09-24 | Lost |
| 969 | 1150 | 26% | 2010-09-11 | Lost |
| 1251 | 1180 | 60% | 2010-08-07 | Tied |
| 866 | 1127 | 18% | 2010-01-24 | Lost |
| 995 | 1051 | 42% | 2009-01-01 | Lost |
| 1085 | 1137 | 43% | 2007-12-01 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1092 | 54% | 2007-11-01 | Lost |
| 1150 | 1150 | 50% | 2006-08-04 | Won |
| 982 | 971 | 52% | 2005-12-03 | Lost |
| 1182 | 1127 | 58% | 2005-11-05 | Lost |
| 1215 | 1053 | 72% | 2005-10-20 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1140 | 35% | 2005-10-03 | Won |
| 1021 | 1039 | 47% | | Won |
| 1039 | 1185 | 30% | | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1052.3 vs 1070.7 has a 47.35% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).