Gut Check
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 5
Attacker wins (Canadian): 3
Defender wins (Italian): 2
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 917 | 1063 | 30% | 2018-08-18 | Lost |
| 827 | 937 | 35% | 2011-07-14 | Won |
| 697 | 1017 | 14% | 2009-10-17 | Won |
| 867 | 1011 | 30% | 2009-10-10 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1160 | 47% | | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 889.2 vs 1037.6 has a 29.85% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).