Gut Check
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14 (4 on the archive and 10 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Canadian): 4
Defender wins (Italian): 10
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
918 | 1083 | 28% | 2018-08-18 | Lost |
827 | 977 | 30% | 2011-07-14 | Won |
701 | 1108 | 9% | 2009-10-17 | Won |
865 | 1093 | 21% | 2009-10-10 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 827.8 vs 1065.3 has a 20.31% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).