The Lighthouse
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 68 (5 on the archive and 63 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 39
Defender wins (Japanese): 29
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1247 | 965 | 84% | 2005-04-23 | Won |
| 1046 | 844 | 76% | 2002-12-21 | Won |
| 1065 | 1100 | 45% | 2000-10-28 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1105 | 47% | 1996-01-10 | Won |
| 1132 | 1063 | 60% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1115.4 vs 1015.4 has a 64.01% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).