The Lighthouse
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 66 (3 on the archive and 63 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 38
Defender wins (Japanese): 28
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1274 | 1003 | 83% | 2005-04-23 | Won |
1138 | 1115 | 53% | 1996-01-10 | Won |
956 | 1069 | 34% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1122.7 vs 1062.3 has a 58.6% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).