Hart Attack
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13
Attacker wins (British / American): 7
Defender wins (German): 6
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1049 | 1026 | 53% | 2023-09-17 | Lost |
1095 | 1307 | 23% | 2023-06-09 | Lost |
900 | 1055 | 29% | 2021-11-17 | Lost |
1069 | 1068 | 50% | 2021-03-17 | Won |
1122 | 1021 | 64% | 2020-04-03 | Won |
934 | 1038 | 35% | 2017-02-02 | Lost |
1010 | 1016 | 49% | 2016-11-05 | Lost |
1049 | 1062 | 48% | 2016-11-05 | Won |
1245 | 1049 | 76% | 2016-11-03 | Won |
1049 | 1188 | 31% | 2016-10-22 | Lost |
1090 | 1307 | 22% | 2016-06-05 | Won |
1041 | 1006 | 55% | 2010-05-11 | Won |
1082 | 1073 | 51% | 1999-05-29 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1056.5 vs 1093.5 has a 44.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).