Over Open Sights
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 75
Attacker wins (German): 30
Defender wins (American): 42
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (American): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1039 | 987 | 57% | 2024-11-07 | Won |
| 987 | 1033 | 43% | 2024-10-24 | Won |
| 1048 | 1006 | 56% | 2024-08-28 | Lost |
| 1310 | 1043 | 82% | 2024-07-20 | Won |
| 1302 | 987 | 86% | 2024-07-06 | Won |
| 1033 | 1004 | 54% | 2024-02-24 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1266 | 22% | 2023-08-13 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1152 | 50% | 2023-04-29 | Lost |
| 1030 | 969 | 59% | 2022-11-15 | Won |
| 1413 | 1431 | 47% | 2022-11-12 | Lost |
| 954 | 1431 | 6% | 2022-08-06 | Lost |
| 856 | 861 | 49% | 2022-07-04 | Lost |
| 1031 | 969 | 59% | 2022-05-06 | Won |
| 1160 | 1048 | 66% | 2022-04-10 | Lost |
| 1005 | 1056 | 43% | 2022-03-22 | Lost |
| 979 | 1164 | 26% | 2022-01-13 | Won |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2021-11-04 | Lost |
| 877 | 978 | 36% | 2021-09-24 | Won |
| 845 | 848 | 50% | 2021-08-05 | Lost |
| 986 | 1061 | 39% | 2021-08-03 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1144 | 44% | 2021-08-02 | Lost |
| 1144 | 1115 | 54% | 2021-07-23 | Won |
| 984 | 1006 | 47% | 2021-06-18 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1431 | 8% | 2021-04-24 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1030 | 51% | 2021-03-08 | Tied |
| 1141 | 964 | 73% | 2020-12-21 | Won |
| 1017 | 1214 | 24% | 2020-09-28 | Won |
| 1017 | 1214 | 24% | 2020-09-04 | Lost |
| 913 | 940 | 46% | 2020-08-31 | Won |
| 1203 | 1010 | 75% | 2020-07-29 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1203 | 25% | 2020-07-17 | Won |
| 944 | 1157 | 23% | 2020-07-01 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1163 | 34% | 2020-03-27 | Lost |
| 1163 | 1126 | 55% | 2020-03-22 | Won |
| 924 | 864 | 59% | 2019-12-17 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1048 | 59% | 2019-12-14 | Won |
| 1042 | 989 | 58% | 2019-10-15 | Lost |
| 989 | 1027 | 45% | 2019-09-29 | Won |
| 1173 | 973 | 76% | 2019-08-05 | Lost |
| 892 | 926 | 45% | 2019-02-22 | Won |
| 1082 | 1142 | 41% | 2018-10-27 | Won |
| 1048 | 1056 | 49% | 2018-05-14 | Lost |
| 1037 | 934 | 64% | 2018-03-17 | Won |
| 1037 | 994 | 56% | 2018-03-12 | Lost |
| 911 | 1037 | 33% | 2017-11-01 | Lost |
| 933 | 1037 | 35% | 2017-08-08 | Lost |
| 1097 | 1026 | 60% | 2017-06-15 | Lost |
| 1115 | 1115 | 50% | 2017-05-22 | Lost |
| 1012 | 892 | 67% | 2016-09-05 | Won |
| 877 | 1048 | 27% | 2016-08-02 | Tied |
| 926 | 1063 | 31% | 2016-04-21 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1142 | 40% | 2016-04-18 | Lost |
| 884 | 913 | 46% | 2016-04-05 | Won |
| 1147 | 1223 | 39% | 2015-12-25 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1111 | 50% | 2015-09-02 | Won |
| 1002 | 1048 | 43% | 2014-09-21 | Won |
| 1096 | 972 | 67% | 2014-06-18 | Won |
| 981 | 981 | 50% | 2014-02-26 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1051 | 51% | 2013-12-22 | Lost |
| 992 | 1022 | 46% | 2013-03-18 | Lost |
| 1208 | 1208 | 50% | 2013-03-02 | Lost |
| 1036 | 898 | 69% | 2012-10-22 | Lost |
| 987 | 983 | 51% | 2010-07-21 | Lost |
| 1012 | 992 | 53% | 2010-06-07 | Won |
| 1228 | 1135 | 63% | 2009-11-10 | Won |
| 1004 | 1045 | 44% | 2009-10-15 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2008-02-16 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2008-02-16 | Lost |
| 918 | 969 | 43% | 2007-12-11 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1006 | 51% | 2007-08-25 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1093 | 42% | 2006-08-05 | Won |
| 860 | 832 | 54% | 2006-05-08 | Won |
| 832 | 832 | 50% | 2006-04-13 | Won |
| 943 | 1010 | 40% | 2006-03-21 | Lost |
| 832 | 832 | 50% | 2006-01-13 | Won |
Attacking (30 wins) average ELOs: 1030.4 vs 1046.8 has a 47.65% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).