Ad Hoc at Chef-Du-Pont
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 97 (45 on the archive and 52 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 52
Defender wins (German): 44
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1036 | 1043 | 49% | 2023-09-28 | Lost |
1223 | 1238 | 48% | 2023-06-22 | Lost |
1056 | 1032 | 53% | 2022-04-15 | Won |
1027 | 1014 | 52% | 2022-04-10 | Lost |
1142 | 1142 | 50% | 2022-03-05 | Won |
1002 | 970 | 55% | 2021-03-28 | Won |
1030 | 1027 | 50% | 2021-03-14 | Lost |
919 | 1080 | 28% | 2021-01-02 | Won |
964 | 1141 | 27% | 2020-12-08 | Lost |
1006 | 1179 | 27% | 2020-12-06 | Lost |
1020 | 1004 | 52% | 2020-11-14 | Lost |
982 | 1179 | 24% | 2020-11-13 | Lost |
1143 | 935 | 77% | 2020-11-12 | Won |
1012 | 851 | 72% | 2020-11-11 | Won |
1012 | 851 | 72% | 2020-11-11 | Won |
1143 | 1115 | 54% | 2020-11-08 | Won |
1179 | 982 | 76% | 2020-11-07 | Won |
961 | 1157 | 24% | 2020-10-30 | Lost |
1078 | 1024 | 58% | 2020-08-20 | Won |
1230 | 1147 | 62% | 2020-05-08 | Lost |
1178 | 1248 | 40% | 2020-04-03 | Won |
1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2020-03-07 | Lost |
929 | 994 | 41% | 2020-01-30 | Won |
1159 | 1111 | 57% | 2019-10-30 | Won |
1189 | 1128 | 59% | 2017-05-19 | Won |
1101 | 1108 | 49% | 2017-05-18 | Won |
893 | 1081 | 25% | 2016-12-31 | Lost |
881 | 1014 | 32% | 2016-07-26 | Tied |
986 | 851 | 69% | 2015-11-08 | Won |
986 | 851 | 69% | 2015-11-07 | Won |
1171 | 1431 | 18% | 2015-11-04 | Lost |
1014 | 1113 | 36% | 2015-07-10 | Lost |
1099 | 1113 | 48% | 2015-07-02 | Lost |
1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2015-03-11 | Lost |
1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2015-03-11 | Lost |
962 | 1035 | 40% | 2014-05-22 | Lost |
1064 | 981 | 62% | 2014-02-06 | Lost |
1207 | 1207 | 50% | 2013-12-01 | Lost |
1016 | 1014 | 50% | 2011-10-10 | Lost |
1228 | 1135 | 63% | 2009-11-04 | Lost |
1014 | 952 | 59% | 2008-11-14 | Won |
1000 | 871 | 68% | 2007-03-01 | Won |
1000 | 934 | 59% | 2007-02-03 | Lost |
1115 | 984 | 68% | 2006-08-12 | Lost |
832 | 832 | 50% | 2006-02-05 | Lost |
Attacking (19 wins) average ELOs: 1051.6 vs 1049.6 has a 50.29% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).