Prelude to Festung Brest
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 56
Attacker wins (American): 22
Defender wins (German): 32
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1067 | 1009 | 58% | 2023-12-03 | Lost |
1009 | 1067 | 42% | 2023-11-30 | Won |
1086 | 1116 | 46% | 2023-11-12 | Won |
956 | 908 | 57% | 2023-11-01 | Won |
1036 | 1043 | 49% | 2023-09-28 | Lost |
1223 | 1238 | 48% | 2023-06-19 | Lost |
970 | 944 | 54% | 2023-01-09 | Lost |
970 | 944 | 54% | 2023-01-05 | Lost |
1137 | 1159 | 47% | 2022-08-19 | Lost |
1027 | 1014 | 52% | 2022-04-10 | Lost |
1027 | 1027 | 50% | 2021-10-05 | Lost |
1027 | 1027 | 50% | 2021-09-14 | Lost |
830 | 881 | 43% | 2021-08-27 | Won |
1030 | 1027 | 50% | 2021-02-22 | Won |
1027 | 1030 | 50% | 2021-02-19 | Won |
1014 | 981 | 55% | 2021-01-17 | Won |
1080 | 919 | 72% | 2021-01-01 | Lost |
1141 | 964 | 73% | 2020-12-01 | Lost |
994 | 935 | 58% | 2020-11-05 | Lost |
982 | 935 | 57% | 2020-11-02 | Won |
935 | 982 | 43% | 2020-10-25 | Won |
1116 | 1179 | 41% | 2020-07-09 | Lost |
1014 | 1041 | 46% | 2020-04-25 | Lost |
926 | 993 | 40% | 2020-02-24 | Lost |
1014 | 1040 | 46% | 2019-06-08 | Lost |
1009 | 1027 | 47% | 2019-03-27 | Lost |
995 | 990 | 51% | 2019-02-22 | Lost |
1014 | 1016 | 50% | 2018-10-08 | Lost |
1108 | 1101 | 51% | 2017-05-18 | Won |
1189 | 1128 | 59% | 2017-05-18 | Won |
1001 | 1014 | 48% | 2017-04-17 | Lost |
993 | 1323 | 13% | 2017-02-22 | Lost |
1081 | 893 | 75% | 2016-12-27 | Won |
880 | 881 | 50% | 2016-08-10 | Won |
1014 | 881 | 68% | 2016-07-26 | Tied |
1014 | 954 | 59% | 2016-07-26 | Won |
1178 | 1431 | 19% | 2015-11-19 | Lost |
1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2015-07-24 | Won |
1099 | 1113 | 48% | 2015-06-28 | Won |
1061 | 1079 | 47% | 2014-06-03 | Won |
981 | 981 | 50% | 2014-01-30 | Won |
1207 | 1207 | 50% | 2013-11-23 | Won |
1431 | 1178 | 81% | 2013-04-01 | Won |
1032 | 1035 | 50% | 2012-11-11 | Lost |
1016 | 1014 | 50% | 2011-08-02 | Won |
1016 | 1014 | 50% | 2011-08-01 | Lost |
990 | 995 | 49% | 2010-11-10 | Won |
1014 | 981 | 55% | 2010-05-22 | Lost |
936 | 936 | 50% | 2010-02-13 | Lost |
1135 | 1228 | 37% | 2009-10-14 | Won |
915 | 1006 | 37% | 2009-05-14 | Lost |
889 | 1115 | 21% | 2009-01-28 | Lost |
946 | 1019 | 40% | 2009-01-15 | Lost |
1017 | 1216 | 24% | 2009-01-04 | Lost |
1039 | 1091 | 43% | 2008-10-17 | Lost |
1115 | 984 | 68% | 2006-10-22 | Lost |
Attacking (23 wins) average ELOs: 1036.9 vs 1041.9 has a 49.28% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).