Gambit
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13
Attacker wins (German): 10
Defender wins (New Zealand): 2
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (New Zealand): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
970 | 1055 | 38% | 2024-03-25 | Won |
1055 | 955 | 64% | 2020-08-08 | Won |
1093 | 1120 | 46% | 2017-06-01 | Won |
1152 | 857 | 85% | 2017-01-14 | Won |
984 | 1050 | 41% | 2015-10-14 | Won |
998 | 1002 | 49% | 2014-02-14 | Won |
1062 | 1048 | 52% | 2010-01-01 | Lost |
1153 | 1307 | 29% | 2007-09-22 | Lost |
1030 | 966 | 59% | 2005-06-29 | Won |
967 | 967 | 50% | 2005-05-20 | Won |
864 | 1068 | 24% | 2002-12-07 | Won |
1102 | 1102 | 50% | | Won |
1102 | 1102 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1040.9 vs 1046.1 has a 49.26% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).