Gambit
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 93 (14 on the archive and 79 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (New Zealand): 27
Defender wins (German): 65
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (New Zealand): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 917 | 971 | 42% | 2024-03-25 | Lost |
| 955 | 917 | 55% | 2020-08-08 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1094 | 54% | 2017-06-01 | Lost |
| 857 | 1140 | 16% | 2017-01-14 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1025 | 48% | 2015-10-14 | Lost |
| 1003 | 999 | 51% | 2014-02-14 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1062 | 48% | 2010-01-01 | Won |
| 1310 | 1153 | 71% | 2007-09-22 | Won |
| 966 | 1030 | 41% | 2005-06-29 | Lost |
| 969 | 969 | 50% | 2005-05-20 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1034 | 59% | 2002-12-07 | Lost |
| 1081 | 1046 | 55% | 1998-10-25 | Won |
| 1138 | 1160 | 47% | | Lost |
| 1138 | 1160 | 47% | | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1043.6 vs 1054.3 has a 48.47% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).