Recon in Force
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 139 (27 on the archive and 112 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 73
Defender wins (Italian / German): 66
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1068 | 1020 | 57% | 2022-01-31 | Won |
| 1080 | 913 | 72% | 2021-09-04 | Won |
| 1010 | 992 | 53% | 2020-09-28 | Won |
| 1198 | 1227 | 46% | 2020-03-28 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2019-04-20 | Lost |
| 939 | 937 | 50% | 2019-01-27 | Lost |
| 1029 | 958 | 60% | 2018-02-23 | Lost |
| 1001 | 1016 | 48% | 2017-02-11 | Won |
| 1125 | 1216 | 37% | 2017-01-29 | Won |
| 1076 | 1216 | 31% | 2017-01-29 | Won |
| 1025 | 1017 | 51% | 2017-01-17 | Won |
| 943 | 1140 | 24% | 2014-11-15 | Lost |
| 1060 | 928 | 68% | 2014-11-11 | Won |
| 930 | 1073 | 31% | 2014-10-14 | Lost |
| 928 | 1060 | 32% | 2014-09-30 | Lost |
| 1126 | 1102 | 53% | 2014-09-15 | Won |
| 951 | 1071 | 33% | 2013-12-08 | Lost |
| 1150 | 1156 | 49% | 2004-11-05 | Won |
| 1263 | 1292 | 46% | 2001-10-28 | Won |
| 1077 | 1216 | 31% | 2001-10-01 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1070 | 49% | 2001-06-04 | Won |
| 1026 | 1026 | 50% | 1999-09-01 | Won |
| 1034 | 1109 | 39% | 1998-12-21 | Lost |
| 777 | 1140 | 11% | 1998-04-17 | Won |
| 984 | 946 | 55% | 1994-05-30 | Lost |
| 1078 | 1078 | 50% | | Lost |
| 1078 | 1000 | 61% | | Won |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1040.9 vs 1074.3 has a 45.2% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).