Recon in Force
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 126 (16 on the archive and 110 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 64
Defender wins (Italian / German): 62
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
941 | 1028 | 38% | 2022-01-31 | Won |
1055 | 915 | 69% | 2021-09-04 | Won |
1009 | 890 | 66% | 2020-09-28 | Won |
1153 | 1327 | 27% | 2020-03-28 | Lost |
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2019-04-20 | Lost |
954 | 937 | 52% | 2019-01-27 | Lost |
992 | 955 | 55% | 2018-02-23 | Lost |
1015 | 1017 | 50% | 2017-02-11 | Won |
1146 | 1284 | 31% | 2017-01-29 | Won |
1026 | 993 | 55% | 2017-01-17 | Won |
901 | 1116 | 22% | 2014-10-14 | Lost |
1095 | 1100 | 49% | 2014-09-15 | Won |
952 | 1068 | 34% | 2013-12-08 | Lost |
1083 | 959 | 67% | 2001-10-01 | Lost |
1034 | 1142 | 35% | 1998-12-21 | Lost |
990 | 1049 | 42% | 1994-05-30 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1029.8 vs 1056.9 has a 46.1% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).