Recon in Force
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 131 (19 on the archive and 112 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 67
Defender wins (Italian / German): 64
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 937 | 1018 | 39% | 2022-01-31 | Won |
| 1074 | 889 | 74% | 2021-09-04 | Won |
| 1009 | 853 | 71% | 2020-09-28 | Won |
| 1181 | 1287 | 35% | 2020-03-28 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2019-04-20 | Lost |
| 964 | 937 | 54% | 2019-01-27 | Lost |
| 1019 | 956 | 59% | 2018-02-23 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1016 | 50% | 2017-02-11 | Won |
| 1046 | 1216 | 27% | 2017-01-29 | Won |
| 1193 | 1216 | 47% | 2017-01-29 | Won |
| 1009 | 1025 | 48% | 2017-01-17 | Won |
| 946 | 1115 | 27% | 2014-10-14 | Lost |
| 1139 | 1097 | 56% | 2014-09-15 | Won |
| 951 | 1067 | 34% | 2013-12-08 | Lost |
| 1063 | 958 | 65% | 2001-10-01 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1138 | 35% | 1998-12-21 | Lost |
| 983 | 1044 | 41% | 1994-05-30 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1160 | 47% | | Lost |
| 1138 | 1000 | 69% | | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1048.7 vs 1056.8 has a 48.83% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).