Auld Lang Syne
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18
Attacker wins (German): 9
Defender wins (American): 9
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 969 | 969 | 50% | 2024-01-01 | Lost |
| 1343 | 1064 | 83% | 2023-12-29 | Lost |
| 1216 | 1055 | 72% | 2022-05-30 | Lost |
| 938 | 938 | 50% | 2022-05-28 | Won |
| 938 | 938 | 50% | 2022-05-04 | Lost |
| 910 | 955 | 44% | 2020-08-04 | Won |
| 955 | 1140 | 26% | 2019-06-13 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1032 | 46% | 2015-07-15 | Won |
| 959 | 1001 | 44% | 2015-03-21 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1005 | 63% | 2014-02-22 | Won |
| 983 | 983 | 50% | 2014-02-12 | Lost |
| 1223 | 1098 | 67% | 2012-10-03 | Won |
| 971 | 963 | 51% | 2012-09-15 | Won |
| 971 | 963 | 51% | 2012-09-15 | Won |
| 966 | 1077 | 35% | 2010-10-02 | Won |
| 1062 | 1048 | 52% | 2010-01-26 | Won |
| 1120 | 1055 | 59% | 2004-11-29 | Lost |
| 984 | 1063 | 39% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1033.6 vs 1019.3 has a 52.05% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).