Auld Lang Syne
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16
Attacker wins (German): 9
Defender wins (American): 7
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
986 | 986 | 50% | 2024-01-01 | Lost |
933 | 933 | 50% | 2022-05-28 | Won |
933 | 933 | 50% | 2022-05-04 | Lost |
910 | 954 | 44% | 2020-08-04 | Won |
954 | 1109 | 29% | 2019-06-13 | Lost |
994 | 1027 | 45% | 2015-07-15 | Won |
959 | 1000 | 44% | 2015-03-21 | Lost |
1094 | 1004 | 63% | 2014-02-22 | Won |
983 | 983 | 50% | 2014-02-12 | Lost |
1225 | 1097 | 68% | 2012-10-03 | Won |
970 | 963 | 51% | 2012-09-15 | Won |
970 | 963 | 51% | 2012-09-15 | Won |
965 | 1048 | 38% | 2010-10-02 | Won |
1062 | 1048 | 52% | 2010-01-26 | Won |
1120 | 1055 | 59% | 2004-11-29 | Lost |
984 | 1069 | 38% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1002.6 vs 1010.8 has a 48.83% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).