Chance D'une Affaire
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 6
Attacker wins (French): 2
Defender wins (German): 4
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
989 | 1030 | 44% | 2022-02-04 | Won |
1147 | 1037 | 65% | 2020-08-24 | Lost |
970 | 1014 | 44% | 2019-12-08 | Won |
965 | 1058 | 37% | 2016-10-08 | Lost |
985 | 1091 | 35% | 2008-10-10 | Lost |
959 | 1103 | 30% | 1996-06-28 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1002.5 vs 1055.5 has a 42.43% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).