The St. Goar Assault
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 5
Attacker wins (American): 3
Defender wins (German): 2
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 997 | 1002 | 49% | 2022-02-27 | Lost |
| 959 | 948 | 52% | 2021-12-21 | Won |
| 1037 | 1115 | 39% | 2005-06-25 | Won |
| 1055 | 1063 | 49% | 2002-07-30 | Won |
| 1043 | 1046 | 50% | 2002-03-16 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1018.2 vs 1034.8 has a 47.61% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).