The Pouppeville Exit
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 116 (16 on the archive and 100 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 59
Defender wins (German): 57
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
916 | 855 | 59% | 2022-11-13 | Won |
858 | 1040 | 26% | 2022-10-07 | Won |
1160 | 947 | 77% | 2022-07-17 | Lost |
911 | 946 | 45% | 2020-11-08 | Lost |
1155 | 1204 | 43% | 2020-05-20 | Won |
996 | 1020 | 47% | 2017-03-19 | Won |
1046 | 1055 | 49% | 2016-10-19 | Lost |
1093 | 882 | 77% | 2016-05-22 | Won |
1020 | 1113 | 37% | 2016-01-30 | Lost |
1038 | 981 | 58% | 2015-11-02 | Lost |
1009 | 1010 | 50% | 2012-04-01 | Lost |
953 | 1115 | 28% | 2011-04-28 | Won |
1005 | 1029 | 47% | 2010-12-20 | Lost |
1204 | 992 | 77% | 2009-01-21 | Won |
1082 | 890 | 75% | 2007-12-04 | Won |
831 | 921 | 37% | 2002-03-05 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1017.3 vs 1000 has a 52.49% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).