Hill 621
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 297 (52 on the archive and 245 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 156
Defender wins (German): 139
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1045 | 1030 | 52% | 2025-10-28 | Lost |
| 958 | 958 | 50% | 2025-10-09 | Lost |
| 873 | 873 | 50% | 2025-08-20 | Lost |
| 1216 | 1275 | 42% | 2025-03-17 | Won |
| 1012 | 1083 | 40% | 2024-02-15 | Won |
| 982 | 991 | 49% | 2024-01-18 | Won |
| 1086 | 1030 | 58% | 2024-01-18 | Won |
| 974 | 1202 | 21% | 2023-10-03 | Lost |
| 1134 | 1113 | 53% | 2023-05-18 | Won |
| 1275 | 1030 | 80% | 2022-06-24 | Won |
| 1035 | 1017 | 53% | 2021-04-27 | Won |
| 1226 | 1008 | 78% | 2020-06-02 | Won |
| 1217 | 931 | 84% | 2020-04-10 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1018 | 55% | 2020-01-04 | Won |
| 991 | 1142 | 30% | 2020-01-03 | Lost |
| 1158 | 1009 | 70% | 2019-12-02 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1126 | 34% | 2019-07-26 | Won |
| 1275 | 1045 | 79% | 2019-06-22 | Won |
| 958 | 1050 | 37% | 2019-03-21 | Won |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2019-03-17 | Lost |
| 756 | 1085 | 13% | 2019-01-18 | Lost |
| 885 | 1016 | 32% | 2019-01-12 | Lost |
| 893 | 930 | 45% | 2018-08-06 | Won |
| 996 | 1000 | 49% | 2017-08-05 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1034 | 46% | 2016-01-17 | Lost |
| 1158 | 1009 | 70% | 2015-09-14 | Lost |
| 1188 | 1275 | 38% | 2014-06-23 | Won |
| 1122 | 1022 | 64% | 2013-06-23 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1050 | 60% | 2013-06-23 | Lost |
| 983 | 1060 | 39% | 2013-04-24 | Won |
| 1079 | 978 | 64% | 2013-02-04 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1097 | 47% | 2010-05-01 | Lost |
| 1068 | 969 | 64% | 2010-01-03 | Won |
| 1011 | 1333 | 14% | 2009-11-12 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1006 | 58% | 2009-06-01 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1006 | 58% | 2009-06-01 | Lost |
| 1068 | 969 | 64% | 2009-04-04 | Won |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2009-03-30 | Lost |
| 1071 | 693 | 90% | 2009-03-28 | Won |
| 1083 | 1012 | 60% | 2008-10-25 | Won |
| 1419 | 1333 | 62% | 2006-09-13 | Won |
| 983 | 1041 | 42% | 2005-12-15 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1030 | 53% | 2005-06-23 | Won |
| 1048 | 1196 | 30% | 2005-06-10 | Won |
| 1009 | 1095 | 38% | 2005-05-06 | Lost |
| 927 | 875 | 57% | 2004-05-13 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1068 | 50% | 2001-10-19 | Won |
| 1151 | 1183 | 45% | 2001-06-16 | Lost |
| 1083 | 916 | 72% | 1999-06-15 | Tied |
| 1151 | 713 | 93% | 1998-12-18 | Won |
| 1202 | 1118 | 62% | 1995-06-11 | Won |
| 984 | 996 | 48% | 1992-08-30 | Tied |
Attacking (25 wins) average ELOs: 1065.1 vs 1043.1 has a 53.16% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).