Hill 621
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 277 (39 on the archive and 238 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 146
Defender wins (German): 129
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1094 | 1048 | 57% | 2024-02-15 | Won |
1018 | 1018 | 50% | 2024-01-18 | Won |
1068 | 1062 | 51% | 2023-05-18 | Won |
1249 | 963 | 84% | 2022-06-24 | Won |
1035 | 1019 | 52% | 2021-04-27 | Won |
1224 | 1007 | 78% | 2020-06-02 | Won |
1284 | 1310 | 46% | 2020-04-10 | Lost |
1000 | 1055 | 42% | 2020-01-04 | Won |
994 | 1108 | 34% | 2020-01-03 | Lost |
1158 | 970 | 75% | 2019-12-02 | Lost |
974 | 1055 | 39% | 2019-07-26 | Won |
1249 | 1092 | 71% | 2019-06-22 | Won |
969 | 1045 | 39% | 2019-03-21 | Won |
1171 | 1224 | 42% | 2019-03-17 | Lost |
823 | 1089 | 18% | 2019-01-18 | Lost |
933 | 896 | 55% | 2019-01-12 | Lost |
888 | 935 | 43% | 2018-08-06 | Won |
1013 | 964 | 57% | 2017-08-05 | Lost |
1050 | 984 | 59% | 2016-01-17 | Lost |
1158 | 970 | 75% | 2015-09-14 | Lost |
1110 | 1249 | 31% | 2014-06-23 | Won |
1102 | 1018 | 62% | 2013-06-23 | Lost |
1102 | 1044 | 58% | 2013-06-23 | Lost |
983 | 1060 | 39% | 2013-04-24 | Won |
969 | 976 | 49% | 2013-02-04 | Lost |
1110 | 1097 | 52% | 2010-05-01 | Lost |
1011 | 1307 | 15% | 2009-11-12 | Lost |
1062 | 1005 | 58% | 2009-06-01 | Lost |
1062 | 1005 | 58% | 2009-06-01 | Lost |
967 | 967 | 50% | 2009-03-30 | Lost |
1047 | 697 | 88% | 2009-03-28 | Won |
1048 | 1094 | 43% | 2008-10-25 | Won |
1397 | 1307 | 63% | 2006-09-13 | Won |
983 | 1037 | 42% | 2005-12-15 | Lost |
997 | 1135 | 31% | 2005-06-10 | Won |
1005 | 1096 | 37% | 2005-05-06 | Lost |
937 | 875 | 59% | 2004-05-13 | Lost |
1048 | 912 | 69% | 1999-06-15 | Tied |
990 | 1013 | 47% | 1992-08-30 | Tied |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1058.5 vs 1043.8 has a 52.12% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).