Hill 621
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 265 (35 on the archive and 230 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 138
Defender wins (German): 125
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1127 | 1062 | 59% | 2024-02-15 | Won |
983 | 983 | 50% | 2024-01-18 | Won |
1160 | 917 | 80% | 2022-06-24 | Won |
1036 | 1019 | 52% | 2021-04-27 | Won |
1225 | 1007 | 78% | 2020-06-02 | Won |
1284 | 1311 | 46% | 2020-04-10 | Lost |
992 | 1055 | 41% | 2020-01-04 | Won |
994 | 1108 | 34% | 2020-01-03 | Lost |
1158 | 1012 | 70% | 2019-12-02 | Lost |
1042 | 984 | 58% | 2019-07-26 | Won |
1160 | 1093 | 60% | 2019-06-22 | Won |
1013 | 1028 | 48% | 2019-03-21 | Won |
1171 | 1225 | 42% | 2019-03-17 | Lost |
977 | 897 | 61% | 2019-01-12 | Lost |
888 | 935 | 43% | 2018-08-06 | Won |
1045 | 991 | 58% | 2017-08-05 | Lost |
1026 | 993 | 55% | 2016-01-17 | Lost |
1158 | 1012 | 70% | 2015-09-14 | Lost |
1109 | 1160 | 43% | 2014-06-23 | Won |
984 | 1060 | 39% | 2013-04-24 | Won |
989 | 975 | 52% | 2013-02-04 | Lost |
1110 | 1097 | 52% | 2010-05-01 | Lost |
1012 | 1307 | 15% | 2009-11-12 | Lost |
1062 | 1005 | 58% | 2009-06-01 | Lost |
1062 | 1005 | 58% | 2009-06-01 | Lost |
967 | 967 | 50% | 2009-03-30 | Lost |
1108 | 701 | 91% | 2009-03-28 | Won |
1062 | 1127 | 41% | 2008-10-25 | Won |
1360 | 1307 | 58% | 2006-09-13 | Won |
983 | 1037 | 42% | 2005-12-15 | Lost |
904 | 925 | 47% | 2005-06-10 | Won |
1006 | 1096 | 37% | 2005-05-06 | Lost |
987 | 875 | 66% | 2004-05-13 | Lost |
1062 | 913 | 70% | 1999-06-15 | Tied |
990 | 1045 | 42% | 1992-08-30 | Tied |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1062.7 vs 1035.3 has a 53.95% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).