The Hedgehog of Piepsk
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28
Attacker wins (Russian): 9
Defender wins (German): 18
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
970 | 970 | 50% | 2024-06-28 | Won |
1094 | 1094 | 50% | 2023-10-23 | Lost |
1330 | 1354 | 47% | 2023-10-04 | Won |
1002 | 1002 | 50% | 2023-07-17 | Lost |
1009 | 1014 | 49% | 2023-05-29 | Won |
1081 | 1041 | 56% | 2023-05-22 | Won |
935 | 943 | 49% | 2023-03-10 | Won |
1045 | 1009 | 55% | 2022-12-15 | Won |
1081 | 1218 | 31% | 2021-12-30 | Won |
994 | 929 | 59% | 2021-01-09 | Won |
895 | 773 | 67% | 2020-12-01 | Won |
954 | 1081 | 32% | 2020-09-19 | Lost |
917 | 1117 | 24% | 2020-06-29 | Lost |
1007 | 1225 | 22% | 2020-04-12 | Lost |
989 | 1081 | 37% | 2019-11-09 | Lost |
1016 | 1014 | 50% | 2019-04-24 | Lost |
1009 | 1032 | 47% | 2019-02-11 | Lost |
1012 | 1001 | 52% | 2018-02-27 | Lost |
995 | 934 | 59% | 2017-09-09 | Lost |
1009 | 1020 | 48% | 2017-03-10 | Lost |
1030 | 989 | 56% | 2015-05-19 | Won |
869 | 882 | 48% | 2014-10-19 | Lost |
1081 | 858 | 78% | 2013-08-26 | Lost |
964 | 934 | 54% | 2010-03-28 | Lost |
1047 | 1102 | 42% | 2007-12-29 | Lost |
1228 | 1131 | 64% | 2007-04-19 | Lost |
943 | 832 | 65% | 2006-07-11 | Lost |
1046 | 1046 | 50% | 2006-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1019.7 vs 1022.4 has a 49.62% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).