Escape to Wiltz
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 19
Attacker wins (American): 6
Defender wins (German): 12
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
986 | 986 | 50% | 2023-12-17 | Lost |
932 | 1051 | 34% | 2023-11-17 | Won |
1035 | 943 | 63% | 2023-01-18 | Lost |
1169 | 784 | 90% | 2023-01-05 | Won |
1027 | 1060 | 45% | 2020-02-01 | Won |
1097 | 1283 | 26% | 2016-08-10 | Lost |
1105 | 1105 | 50% | 2015-11-08 | Lost |
985 | 1045 | 41% | 2010-12-21 | Lost |
967 | 967 | 50% | 2008-05-05 | Lost |
1069 | 1075 | 49% | 2008-01-01 | Lost |
984 | 1012 | 46% | 2006-01-14 | Lost |
938 | 1049 | 35% | 2005-09-17 | Lost |
1138 | 1000 | 69% | 2005-02-04 | Won |
890 | 938 | 43% | 2004-09-18 | Lost |
1273 | 1075 | 76% | 2004-03-21 | Won |
1135 | 1228 | 37% | 2004-02-21 | Won |
1228 | 1135 | 63% | 2004-02-10 | Won |
1009 | 1078 | 40% | 2004-01-28 | Lost |
1075 | 1148 | 40% | 2004-01-17 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1054.8 vs 1050.6 has a 50.61% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).