Pavlov's House
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15
Attacker wins (German): 9
Defender wins (Russian): 6
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1050 | 981 | 60% | 2023-05-27 | Won |
1051 | 932 | 66% | 2022-01-01 | Won |
954 | 1003 | 43% | 2021-11-28 | Lost |
982 | 981 | 50% | 2021-09-24 | Won |
981 | 982 | 50% | 2021-09-18 | Won |
968 | 1058 | 37% | 2018-05-12 | Lost |
994 | 1027 | 45% | 2016-03-02 | Lost |
847 | 853 | 49% | 2015-10-21 | Lost |
872 | 1002 | 32% | 2011-11-08 | Lost |
963 | 1155 | 25% | 2011-08-30 | Won |
1097 | 886 | 77% | 2011-04-03 | Won |
1055 | 940 | 66% | 2009-08-01 | Won |
1307 | 976 | 87% | 2008-03-15 | Won |
1022 | 1307 | 16% | 2006-02-17 | Lost |
895 | 994 | 36% | 2000-01-18 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1002.5 vs 1005.1 has a 49.63% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).