Pavlov's House
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17
Attacker wins (German): 11
Defender wins (Russian): 6
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1050 | 981 | 60% | 2023-05-27 | Won |
| 1004 | 1002 | 50% | 2022-01-01 | Won |
| 954 | 1048 | 37% | 2021-11-28 | Lost |
| 1053 | 941 | 66% | 2021-09-24 | Won |
| 1053 | 941 | 66% | 2021-09-24 | Won |
| 941 | 1053 | 34% | 2021-09-18 | Won |
| 941 | 1053 | 34% | 2021-09-18 | Won |
| 967 | 1058 | 37% | 2018-05-12 | Lost |
| 1112 | 932 | 74% | 2016-03-02 | Lost |
| 847 | 855 | 49% | 2015-10-21 | Lost |
| 924 | 1002 | 39% | 2011-11-08 | Lost |
| 963 | 908 | 58% | 2011-08-30 | Won |
| 1098 | 887 | 77% | 2011-04-03 | Won |
| 1079 | 940 | 69% | 2009-08-01 | Won |
| 1302 | 977 | 87% | 2008-03-15 | Won |
| 1051 | 1302 | 19% | 2006-02-17 | Lost |
| 841 | 1010 | 27% | 2000-01-18 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1010.6 vs 993.5 has a 52.45% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).