Cahier Carriers
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 61 (18 on the archive and 43 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 31
Defender wins (German): 30
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 988 | 988 | 50% | 2020-12-09 | Lost |
| 947 | 947 | 50% | 2020-07-19 | Won |
| 1012 | 1131 | 34% | 2019-08-24 | Lost |
| 1190 | 1099 | 63% | 2018-03-17 | Won |
| 851 | 1123 | 17% | 2017-09-16 | Lost |
| 919 | 898 | 53% | 2017-04-03 | Lost |
| 1064 | 971 | 63% | 2017-02-13 | Won |
| 1007 | 853 | 71% | 2016-11-05 | Won |
| 974 | 987 | 48% | 2016-11-05 | Won |
| 1052 | 1221 | 27% | 2016-03-18 | Won |
| 1012 | 1131 | 34% | 2011-11-06 | Won |
| 1019 | 1147 | 32% | 2011-10-29 | Won |
| 1019 | 1253 | 21% | 2011-10-13 | Lost |
| 1061 | 1165 | 35% | 2011-09-26 | Won |
| 980 | 1073 | 37% | 2011-09-05 | Lost |
| 927 | 1009 | 38% | 2011-03-25 | Lost |
| 1264 | 1232 | 55% | 2004-12-12 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1097 | 59% | 2002-11-23 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1024.7 vs 1073.6 has a 43.01% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).