Cahier Carriers
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 60 (17 on the archive and 43 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 32
Defender wins (German): 28
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
982 | 969 | 52% | 2020-12-09 | Lost |
977 | 977 | 50% | 2020-07-19 | Won |
1055 | 1183 | 32% | 2019-08-24 | Lost |
1123 | 1094 | 54% | 2018-03-17 | Won |
857 | 1152 | 15% | 2017-09-16 | Lost |
906 | 893 | 52% | 2017-04-03 | Lost |
1110 | 993 | 66% | 2017-02-13 | Won |
1093 | 851 | 80% | 2016-11-05 | Won |
974 | 986 | 48% | 2016-11-05 | Won |
1209 | 1249 | 44% | 2016-03-18 | Won |
1055 | 1183 | 32% | 2011-11-06 | Won |
1018 | 1145 | 32% | 2011-10-29 | Won |
1018 | 1227 | 23% | 2011-10-13 | Lost |
997 | 1135 | 31% | 2011-09-26 | Won |
1094 | 1048 | 57% | 2011-09-05 | Lost |
937 | 1005 | 40% | 2011-03-25 | Lost |
1097 | 1055 | 56% | 2002-11-23 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1029.5 vs 1067.4 has a 44.58% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).