Cahier Carriers
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 59 (17 on the archive and 42 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 31
Defender wins (German): 28
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1013 | 1013 | 50% | 2020-12-09 | Lost |
954 | 954 | 50% | 2020-07-19 | Won |
983 | 1144 | 28% | 2019-08-24 | Lost |
1197 | 1094 | 64% | 2018-03-17 | Won |
856 | 1198 | 12% | 2017-09-16 | Lost |
915 | 895 | 53% | 2017-04-03 | Lost |
1109 | 993 | 66% | 2017-02-13 | Won |
1094 | 851 | 80% | 2016-11-05 | Won |
973 | 986 | 48% | 2016-11-05 | Won |
1209 | 1175 | 55% | 2016-03-18 | Won |
983 | 1144 | 28% | 2011-11-06 | Won |
1019 | 1145 | 33% | 2011-10-29 | Won |
1019 | 1228 | 23% | 2011-10-13 | Lost |
904 | 925 | 47% | 2011-09-26 | Won |
1127 | 1062 | 59% | 2011-09-05 | Lost |
987 | 1006 | 47% | 2011-03-25 | Lost |
1142 | 1052 | 63% | 2002-11-23 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1028.5 vs 1050.9 has a 46.78% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).