Unlucky Thirteenth
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 118 (21 on the archive and 97 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 58
Defender wins (British / French): 60
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
938 | 1011 | 40% | 2024-03-06 | Won |
1005 | 917 | 62% | 2023-05-31 | Won |
1012 | 1093 | 39% | 2023-05-25 | Won |
1041 | 1030 | 52% | 2022-08-30 | Won |
1127 | 1062 | 59% | 2022-01-06 | Lost |
1096 | 1109 | 48% | 2020-04-14 | Lost |
1204 | 924 | 83% | 2020-03-07 | Lost |
1327 | 804 | 95% | 2019-08-31 | Won |
1171 | 1225 | 42% | 2018-08-26 | Lost |
1144 | 1204 | 41% | 2018-06-21 | Won |
1225 | 1106 | 66% | 2015-09-27 | Lost |
1109 | 1176 | 40% | 2014-08-16 | Lost |
1026 | 1327 | 15% | 2013-12-16 | Lost |
1037 | 1131 | 37% | 2013-01-05 | Won |
1075 | 984 | 63% | 2012-09-16 | Lost |
1062 | 1127 | 41% | 2011-08-29 | Lost |
959 | 1062 | 36% | 2010-03-14 | Lost |
1062 | 1127 | 41% | 2010-03-03 | Won |
925 | 1261 | 13% | 2005-03-26 | Lost |
1000 | 925 | 61% | 2005-01-26 | Lost |
1142 | 1273 | 32% | 2002-12-05 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1080.3 vs 1089.4 has a 48.69% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).