Unlucky Thirteenth
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26
Attacker wins (German): 10
Defender wins (British / French): 16
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
977 | 977 | 50% | 2024-05-12 | Won |
914 | 914 | 50% | 2024-04-22 | Lost |
944 | 1002 | 42% | 2024-03-06 | Won |
1029 | 963 | 59% | 2023-05-31 | Won |
1100 | 1093 | 51% | 2023-05-25 | Won |
1038 | 1030 | 51% | 2022-08-30 | Won |
1094 | 1048 | 57% | 2022-01-06 | Lost |
1097 | 1110 | 48% | 2020-04-14 | Lost |
1055 | 955 | 64% | 2020-03-07 | Lost |
1289 | 778 | 95% | 2019-08-31 | Won |
1171 | 1224 | 42% | 2018-08-26 | Lost |
1183 | 1055 | 68% | 2018-06-21 | Won |
1224 | 1185 | 56% | 2015-09-27 | Lost |
1110 | 1123 | 48% | 2014-08-16 | Lost |
1022 | 1289 | 18% | 2013-12-16 | Lost |
1049 | 1133 | 38% | 2013-01-05 | Won |
1075 | 983 | 63% | 2012-09-16 | Lost |
1048 | 1094 | 43% | 2011-08-29 | Lost |
959 | 1048 | 37% | 2010-03-14 | Lost |
1048 | 1094 | 43% | 2010-03-03 | Won |
1135 | 1267 | 32% | 2005-03-26 | Lost |
1001 | 1135 | 32% | 2005-01-26 | Lost |
1162 | 1068 | 63% | 2004-01-01 | Lost |
1097 | 1273 | 27% | 2002-12-05 | Lost |
1102 | 1052 | 57% | 2002-09-16 | Won |
1102 | 1034 | 60% | | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1077.9 vs 1074.1 has a 50.54% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).