Silesian Interlude
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 311 (40 on the archive and 271 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 152
Defender wins (Russian): 159
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
963 | 1168 | 24% | 2024-03-09 | Lost |
1026 | 1197 | 27% | 2024-02-03 | Lost |
1125 | 1108 | 52% | 2024-01-20 | Lost |
1012 | 1012 | 50% | 2023-07-11 | Won |
949 | 984 | 45% | 2023-02-15 | Lost |
915 | 1110 | 25% | 2022-09-04 | Won |
1104 | 1160 | 42% | 2022-09-04 | Won |
1168 | 1096 | 60% | 2022-02-24 | Lost |
1012 | 1013 | 50% | 2020-07-10 | Won |
992 | 1284 | 16% | 2019-12-23 | Won |
975 | 989 | 48% | 2019-09-19 | Lost |
1067 | 1063 | 51% | 2019-01-01 | Won |
916 | 991 | 39% | 2018-07-27 | Lost |
1045 | 974 | 60% | 2018-07-27 | Won |
1013 | 1109 | 37% | 2018-02-03 | Lost |
1013 | 1109 | 37% | 2017-12-29 | Lost |
1307 | 1181 | 67% | 2017-06-11 | Won |
954 | 1151 | 24% | 2017-03-25 | Won |
985 | 1198 | 23% | 2016-09-13 | Lost |
917 | 1017 | 36% | 2015-07-11 | Lost |
994 | 1092 | 36% | 2014-11-08 | Lost |
1115 | 989 | 67% | 2014-10-04 | Lost |
1181 | 890 | 84% | 2013-10-13 | Won |
858 | 989 | 32% | 2012-08-06 | Lost |
935 | 992 | 42% | 2012-01-20 | Lost |
1110 | 972 | 69% | 2010-11-26 | Won |
1056 | 1019 | 55% | 2010-10-29 | Won |
1197 | 1089 | 65% | 2010-10-16 | Lost |
925 | 904 | 53% | 2010-03-23 | Won |
905 | 1090 | 26% | 2010-01-10 | Lost |
1093 | 1062 | 54% | 2008-11-05 | Lost |
989 | 1090 | 36% | 2008-10-10 | Won |
979 | 1360 | 10% | 2006-07-16 | Won |
1135 | 1227 | 37% | 2006-04-04 | Lost |
925 | 1033 | 35% | 2005-03-23 | Won |
1142 | 1148 | 49% | 2002-09-05 | Lost |
1097 | 1096 | 50% | 2001-10-13 | Lost |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2001-07-27 | Won |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2001-07-18 | Won |
890 | 1097 | 23% | 2001-06-02 | Won |
Attacking (19 wins) average ELOs: 1029.5 vs 1081.2 has a 42.61% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).