Silesian Interlude
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 41
Attacker wins (German): 19
Defender wins (Russian): 22
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
930 | 1025 | 37% | 2024-06-29 | Lost |
963 | 1169 | 23% | 2024-03-09 | Lost |
1026 | 1141 | 34% | 2024-02-03 | Lost |
1125 | 1055 | 60% | 2024-01-20 | Lost |
1032 | 1018 | 52% | 2023-07-11 | Won |
954 | 984 | 46% | 2023-02-15 | Lost |
915 | 1110 | 25% | 2022-09-04 | Won |
1107 | 1211 | 35% | 2022-09-04 | Won |
1169 | 1096 | 60% | 2022-02-24 | Lost |
1032 | 1013 | 53% | 2020-07-10 | Won |
994 | 1283 | 16% | 2019-12-23 | Won |
973 | 985 | 48% | 2019-09-19 | Lost |
1067 | 1069 | 50% | 2019-01-01 | Won |
934 | 1003 | 40% | 2018-07-27 | Lost |
1014 | 974 | 56% | 2018-07-27 | Won |
964 | 1102 | 31% | 2018-02-03 | Lost |
964 | 1102 | 31% | 2017-12-29 | Lost |
1307 | 1135 | 73% | 2017-06-11 | Won |
986 | 1152 | 28% | 2017-03-25 | Won |
986 | 1144 | 29% | 2016-09-13 | Lost |
917 | 1016 | 36% | 2015-07-11 | Lost |
1019 | 1092 | 40% | 2014-11-08 | Lost |
1094 | 989 | 65% | 2014-10-04 | Lost |
1135 | 872 | 82% | 2013-10-13 | Won |
841 | 985 | 30% | 2012-08-06 | Lost |
935 | 992 | 42% | 2012-01-20 | Lost |
1110 | 972 | 69% | 2010-11-26 | Won |
1056 | 1019 | 55% | 2010-10-29 | Won |
1141 | 1089 | 57% | 2010-10-16 | Lost |
1078 | 1009 | 60% | 2010-03-23 | Won |
905 | 1091 | 26% | 2010-01-10 | Lost |
1022 | 1063 | 44% | 2008-11-05 | Lost |
989 | 1091 | 36% | 2008-10-10 | Won |
976 | 1398 | 8% | 2006-07-16 | Won |
1135 | 1228 | 37% | 2006-04-04 | Lost |
1078 | 1034 | 56% | 2005-03-23 | Won |
1075 | 1148 | 40% | 2002-09-05 | Lost |
1097 | 1096 | 50% | 2001-10-13 | Lost |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2001-07-27 | Won |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2001-07-18 | Won |
890 | 1097 | 23% | 2001-06-02 | Won |
Attacking (19 wins) average ELOs: 1027.5 vs 1079.2 has a 42.62% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).