In the Bag
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 68 (10 on the archive and 58 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 32
Defender wins (German): 36
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1086 | 1086 | 50% | 2024-01-01 | Won |
882 | 1081 | 24% | 2022-12-23 | Lost |
882 | 1081 | 24% | 2022-12-23 | Lost |
1171 | 994 | 73% | 2020-10-18 | Lost |
959 | 959 | 50% | 2017-12-09 | Won |
1097 | 1000 | 64% | 2013-07-12 | Won |
1027 | 1018 | 51% | 2011-10-23 | Won |
1000 | 1014 | 48% | 2011-05-20 | Won |
1069 | 1057 | 52% | 2001-10-01 | Lost |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2001-08-15 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1027 vs 1038.7 has a 48.32% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).