Friday the 13th
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 51
Attacker wins (German): 20
Defender wins (Russian): 31
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1242 | 1252 | 49% | 2024-06-06 | Lost |
1078 | 1002 | 61% | 2024-05-29 | Lost |
981 | 982 | 50% | 2024-04-28 | Lost |
1117 | 1073 | 56% | 2024-01-04 | Won |
979 | 872 | 65% | 2023-10-05 | Won |
1003 | 1307 | 15% | 2023-06-11 | Won |
919 | 873 | 57% | 2022-05-14 | Won |
1014 | 1307 | 16% | 2021-03-18 | Lost |
1039 | 784 | 81% | 2020-11-18 | Lost |
973 | 985 | 48% | 2020-05-23 | Lost |
1137 | 937 | 76% | 2019-11-23 | Lost |
1008 | 983 | 54% | 2019-08-10 | Lost |
1014 | 990 | 53% | 2019-02-01 | Won |
943 | 984 | 44% | 2018-11-03 | Lost |
960 | 1109 | 30% | 2018-07-31 | Lost |
1059 | 964 | 63% | 2018-06-02 | Lost |
1055 | 900 | 71% | 2018-04-28 | Won |
862 | 1122 | 18% | 2018-02-16 | Lost |
1055 | 926 | 68% | 2017-11-28 | Won |
986 | 1011 | 46% | 2017-10-21 | Won |
989 | 994 | 49% | 2017-05-21 | Won |
1150 | 1307 | 29% | 2017-05-06 | Lost |
926 | 1211 | 16% | 2016-03-19 | Lost |
1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2016-02-27 | Won |
1135 | 931 | 76% | 2015-11-27 | Won |
1069 | 1225 | 29% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
1014 | 1012 | 50% | 2015-03-14 | Lost |
1098 | 1138 | 44% | 2013-10-10 | Won |
938 | 992 | 42% | 2012-11-16 | Lost |
976 | 987 | 48% | 2012-11-02 | Lost |
984 | 1091 | 35% | 2012-10-13 | Lost |
979 | 1000 | 47% | 2012-08-17 | Lost |
1069 | 1113 | 44% | 2011-05-27 | Won |
1078 | 1009 | 60% | 2011-04-23 | Won |
948 | 985 | 45% | 2010-10-05 | Lost |
1097 | 1058 | 56% | 2010-04-11 | Lost |
1020 | 1097 | 39% | 2010-04-09 | Lost |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2010-03-07 | Lost |
1122 | 976 | 70% | 2010-02-28 | Lost |
1000 | 948 | 57% | 2009-11-08 | Lost |
1003 | 992 | 52% | 2009-07-23 | Lost |
978 | 1141 | 28% | 2008-12-29 | Won |
1107 | 1075 | 55% | 2008-09-21 | Lost |
1091 | 905 | 74% | 2007-10-30 | Won |
1228 | 1135 | 63% | 2006-04-10 | Won |
916 | 1019 | 36% | 2006-03-09 | Lost |
1285 | 1030 | 81% | 2006-01-01 | Won |
994 | 1003 | 49% | 2005-04-23 | Won |
985 | 992 | 49% | 2004-10-07 | Lost |
1228 | 1001 | 79% | 2004-03-03 | Won |
Attacking (20 wins) average ELOs: 1040.8 vs 1038.8 has a 50.29% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).