Friday the 13th
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 64
Attacker wins (German): 27
Defender wins (Russian): 37
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1008 | 1034 | 46% | 2025-10-15 | Won |
| 1003 | 1055 | 43% | 2025-01-25 | Won |
| 1240 | 1180 | 59% | 2024-06-06 | Lost |
| 1196 | 1136 | 59% | 2024-05-29 | Lost |
| 941 | 1040 | 36% | 2024-04-28 | Lost |
| 941 | 1040 | 36% | 2024-04-28 | Lost |
| 1130 | 1112 | 53% | 2024-01-04 | Won |
| 1002 | 889 | 66% | 2023-10-05 | Won |
| 991 | 1333 | 12% | 2023-06-11 | Won |
| 926 | 888 | 55% | 2022-05-14 | Won |
| 1186 | 1135 | 57% | 2021-09-25 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1333 | 14% | 2021-03-18 | Lost |
| 1029 | 773 | 81% | 2020-11-18 | Lost |
| 978 | 1079 | 36% | 2020-05-23 | Lost |
| 961 | 1050 | 37% | 2020-01-17 | Lost |
| 1138 | 937 | 76% | 2019-11-23 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1008 | 50% | 2019-08-10 | Lost |
| 996 | 984 | 52% | 2019-02-01 | Won |
| 950 | 1056 | 35% | 2018-11-03 | Lost |
| 942 | 1188 | 20% | 2018-07-31 | Lost |
| 1058 | 958 | 64% | 2018-06-02 | Lost |
| 1075 | 913 | 72% | 2018-04-28 | Won |
| 1035 | 1098 | 41% | 2018-02-16 | Lost |
| 1075 | 923 | 71% | 2017-11-28 | Won |
| 941 | 1011 | 40% | 2017-10-21 | Won |
| 1037 | 1050 | 48% | 2017-05-21 | Won |
| 1154 | 1333 | 26% | 2017-05-06 | Lost |
| 893 | 1089 | 24% | 2017-01-28 | Won |
| 896 | 1275 | 10% | 2016-03-19 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1172 | 50% | 2016-02-27 | Won |
| 1121 | 927 | 75% | 2015-11-27 | Won |
| 968 | 1226 | 18% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
| 996 | 1012 | 48% | 2015-03-14 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1063 | 55% | 2013-10-10 | Won |
| 927 | 1009 | 38% | 2012-11-16 | Lost |
| 959 | 986 | 46% | 2012-11-02 | Lost |
| 983 | 1091 | 35% | 2012-10-13 | Lost |
| 982 | 999 | 48% | 2012-08-17 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1108 | 35% | 2011-05-27 | Won |
| 1196 | 1048 | 70% | 2011-04-23 | Won |
| 928 | 1079 | 30% | 2010-10-05 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1058 | 56% | 2010-04-11 | Lost |
| 1001 | 1100 | 36% | 2010-04-09 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1100 | 49% | 2010-03-07 | Lost |
| 1098 | 984 | 66% | 2010-02-28 | Lost |
| 1009 | 956 | 58% | 2009-11-08 | Lost |
| 1126 | 990 | 69% | 2009-07-23 | Lost |
| 978 | 1119 | 31% | 2008-12-29 | Won |
| 1104 | 1174 | 40% | 2008-09-21 | Lost |
| 1107 | 904 | 76% | 2007-10-30 | Won |
| 1228 | 1135 | 63% | 2006-04-10 | Won |
| 917 | 1043 | 33% | 2006-03-09 | Lost |
| 1293 | 1035 | 82% | 2006-01-01 | Won |
| 993 | 1000 | 49% | 2005-04-23 | Won |
| 985 | 982 | 50% | 2004-10-07 | Lost |
| 1228 | 999 | 79% | 2004-03-03 | Won |
| 1067 | 1068 | 50% | 2003-10-31 | Lost |
| 831 | 1202 | 11% | 2002-12-20 | Won |
| 952 | 1202 | 19% | 2002-03-27 | Won |
| 1068 | 985 | 62% | 2002-01-16 | Lost |
| 713 | 1151 | 7% | 2001-08-07 | Won |
| 1117 | 1090 | 54% | | Lost |
| 1117 | 1217 | 36% | | Won |
Attacking (27 wins) average ELOs: 1035.1 vs 1065.3 has a 45.66% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).