Setting the Stage
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 184 (43 on the archive and 142 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 95
Defender wins (Russian): 89
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 1
Defender wins (Russian): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1151 | 1031 | 67% | 2026-03-11 | | Won |
| 1075 | 964 | 65% | 2025-09-16 | A | Won |
| 1057 | 1000 | 58% | 2025-04-11 | | Won |
| 1029 | 1000 | 54% | 2024-12-22 | | Won |
| 1029 | 977 | 57% | 2024-12-22 | | Won |
| 994 | 1055 | 41% | 2023-11-14 | | Lost |
| 989 | 1000 | 48% | 2023-11-02 | | Lost |
| 1031 | 1151 | 33% | 2023-09-27 | | Lost |
| 905 | 1000 | 37% | 2023-07-09 | | Won |
| 1097 | 1159 | 41% | 2023-04-23 | | Lost |
| 1170 | 1000 | 73% | 2023-04-22 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 984 | 52% | 2023-04-21 | | Lost |
| 984 | 1281 | 15% | 2022-12-16 | | Lost |
| 1097 | 992 | 65% | 2022-09-22 | | Won |
| 1023 | 985 | 55% | 2022-09-11 | | Won |
| 1097 | 992 | 65% | 2022-09-02 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1006 | 49% | 2022-08-14 | | Lost |
| 977 | 780 | 76% | 2022-08-12 | | Lost |
| 1167 | 1281 | 34% | 2022-07-29 | | Won |
| 1242 | 1000 | 80% | 2021-09-27 | | Won |
| 1226 | 977 | 81% | 2020-10-16 | | Won |
| 1133 | 970 | 72% | 2020-05-19 | | Lost |
| 954 | 1000 | 43% | 2020-05-05 | | Won |
| 966 | 918 | 57% | 2018-07-20 | | Lost |
| 928 | 1074 | 30% | 2016-09-16 | | Won |
| 1056 | 1000 | 58% | 2015-05-02 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1098 | 36% | 2015-03-10 | | Lost |
| 1135 | 1024 | 65% | 2015-01-09 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1226 | 21% | 2013-06-20 | | Won |
| 1000 | 985 | 52% | 2013-04-27 | | Lost |
| 1019 | 1045 | 46% | 2012-03-09 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1125 | 33% | 2012-03-01 | | Lost |
| 940 | 1167 | 21% | 2012-02-20 | | Lost |
| 1226 | 1000 | 79% | 2009-09-19 | | Won |
| 1219 | 969 | 81% | 2008-01-12 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1097 | 36% | 2007-01-06 | | Won |
| 1141 | 1127 | 52% | 2006-09-24 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1226 | 21% | 2006-09-22 | | Won |
| 994 | 1050 | 42% | 2004-03-08 | | Lost |
| 1087 | 1074 | 52% | 2004-01-16 | | Won |
| 1097 | 1000 | 64% | 2003-06-21 | | Won |
| 961 | 1096 | 31% | 2003-03-01 | | Won |
| 1242 | 1000 | 80% | 2003-02-09 | | Won |
Attacking (25 wins) average ELOs: 1056.7 vs 1043.9 has a 51.85% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).