3rd RTR in the Rain
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 87
Attacker wins (British): 44
Defender wins (German): 42
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|---|---|---|---|
979 | 882 | 64% | 2023-11-29 | Won |
1107 | 935 | 73% | 2023-07-21 | Won |
954 | 989 | 45% | 2023-06-08 | Won |
1179 | 982 | 76% | 2023-05-28 | Won |
943 | 925 | 53% | 2023-03-04 | Won |
1003 | 1003 | 50% | 2023-02-28 | Won |
1041 | 1009 | 55% | 2022-11-30 | Won |
978 | 976 | 50% | 2022-10-29 | Lost |
1001 | 1011 | 49% | 2022-10-29 | Lost |
959 | 959 | 50% | 2022-05-22 | Won |
966 | 994 | 46% | 2022-04-19 | Lost |
994 | 966 | 54% | 2022-04-13 | Won |
1007 | 1021 | 48% | 2021-04-04 | Lost |
943 | 984 | 44% | 2021-02-13 | Lost |
1137 | 1133 | 51% | 2020-08-04 | Won |
1032 | 1071 | 44% | 2020-06-26 | Lost |
1009 | 997 | 52% | 2020-06-26 | Won |
1032 | 1020 | 52% | 2020-06-12 | Won |
934 | 1159 | 21% | 2020-04-28 | Lost |
911 | 1024 | 34% | 2020-04-23 | Lost |
1002 | 998 | 51% | 2020-04-15 | Won |
1078 | 1135 | 42% | 2020-04-04 | Lost |
1047 | 1002 | 56% | 2020-04-04 | Lost |
1009 | 1008 | 50% | 2020-04-02 | Lost |
1008 | 1009 | 50% | 2020-02-22 | Won |
970 | 1014 | 44% | 2020-02-02 | Lost |
989 | 1009 | 47% | 2019-05-31 | Won |
989 | 1009 | 47% | 2019-05-31 | Won |
994 | 1108 | 34% | 2018-05-17 | Won |
1103 | 967 | 69% | 2018-01-26 | Won |
983 | 1090 | 35% | 2017-11-23 | Lost |
1014 | 1171 | 29% | 2017-03-05 | Lost |
1068 | 1014 | 58% | 2016-06-14 | Lost |
1014 | 1171 | 29% | 2015-06-18 | Lost |
1034 | 1323 | 16% | 2015-05-09 | Lost |
1119 | 1090 | 54% | 2015-05-05 | Lost |
1162 | 1001 | 72% | 2015-02-15 | Lost |
976 | 1033 | 42% | 2014-11-08 | Won |
1171 | 1014 | 71% | 2014-11-06 | Won |
1046 | 1267 | 22% | 2014-10-11 | Lost |
994 | 1054 | 41% | 2014-07-13 | Lost |
918 | 1035 | 34% | 2014-05-20 | Lost |
918 | 1035 | 34% | 2014-05-10 | Lost |
1092 | 1214 | 33% | 2013-10-10 | Won |
1056 | 1060 | 49% | 2013-09-03 | Won |
1040 | 986 | 58% | 2013-03-02 | Won |
1058 | 1064 | 49% | 2012-12-08 | Won |
1267 | 1097 | 73% | 2012-10-04 | Lost |
991 | 937 | 58% | 2012-07-18 | Won |
1014 | 1171 | 29% | 2012-07-07 | Tied |
1000 | 973 | 54% | 2012-04-29 | Won |
1073 | 984 | 63% | 2011-10-05 | Lost |
1171 | 1014 | 71% | 2011-09-11 | Lost |
1171 | 1058 | 66% | 2011-09-11 | Lost |
1057 | 1026 | 54% | 2011-03-14 | Lost |
1093 | 1125 | 45% | 2011-01-05 | Lost |
1078 | 1163 | 38% | 2010-10-07 | Lost |
1019 | 1078 | 42% | 2010-03-14 | Won |
1147 | 1021 | 67% | 2010-03-14 | Lost |
864 | 1019 | 29% | 2010-03-12 | Won |
1047 | 1019 | 54% | 2010-03-11 | Won |
1019 | 851 | 72% | 2010-02-11 | Won |
1323 | 1088 | 79% | 2009-09-13 | Lost |
1398 | 982 | 92% | 2009-09-13 | Won |
993 | 1323 | 13% | 2009-08-27 | Won |
1173 | 1398 | 21% | 2009-05-17 | Lost |
1091 | 984 | 65% | 2009-05-10 | Won |
1073 | 1004 | 60% | 2009-04-01 | Won |
1074 | 1133 | 42% | 2009-03-07 | Won |
1058 | 1093 | 45% | 2009-01-02 | Lost |
1020 | 1047 | 46% | 2008-10-24 | Won |
1102 | 1047 | 58% | 2008-09-13 | Won |
974 | 1105 | 32% | 2008-04-26 | Lost |
998 | 958 | 56% | 2007-07-12 | Won |
1016 | 1015 | 50% | 2007-05-16 | Won |
1288 | 1030 | 82% | 2007-01-02 | Lost |
1098 | 1398 | 15% | 2006-10-13 | Lost |
1171 | 992 | 74% | 2006-01-25 | Won |
1097 | 947 | 70% | 2004-12-11 | Won |
875 | 994 | 34% | 2004-11-08 | Won |
1120 | 1055 | 59% | 2004-09-21 | Lost |
901 | 938 | 45% | 2004-02-04 | Won |
980 | 1103 | 33% | 2001-12-19 | Lost |
1021 | 926 | 63% | 2001-10-27 | Lost |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2001-09-19 | Lost |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2001-09-18 | Won |
890 | 1097 | 23% | 2001-06-23 | Lost |
Attacking (44 wins) average ELOs: 1044.8 vs 1049.5 has a 49.33% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).