Kampfgruppe at Karachev
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 186 (29 on the archive and 157 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 80
Defender wins (German): 105
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1181 | 1168 | 52% | 2023-04-09 | Won |
1160 | 912 | 81% | 2022-12-28 | Won |
993 | 1026 | 45% | 2022-08-21 | Won |
1045 | 991 | 58% | 2021-02-27 | Lost |
1035 | 1159 | 33% | 2020-09-21 | Won |
1020 | 1020 | 50% | 2020-07-09 | Lost |
1020 | 1020 | 50% | 2020-07-09 | Lost |
1012 | 969 | 56% | 2019-01-27 | Lost |
971 | 1109 | 31% | 2019-01-03 | Lost |
917 | 961 | 44% | 2018-08-20 | Won |
1101 | 1108 | 49% | 2018-08-02 | Tied |
992 | 934 | 58% | 2016-11-25 | Lost |
1036 | 980 | 58% | 2015-09-27 | Lost |
1019 | 1036 | 48% | 2015-09-11 | Lost |
1151 | 954 | 76% | 2015-08-06 | Won |
1087 | 1063 | 53% | 2014-12-06 | Won |
1055 | 1068 | 48% | 2012-03-30 | Won |
989 | 975 | 52% | 2012-03-17 | Won |
988 | 976 | 52% | 2012-01-21 | Lost |
939 | 1087 | 30% | 2010-01-17 | Won |
1095 | 1035 | 59% | 2008-02-03 | Won |
1000 | 925 | 61% | 2006-06-22 | Lost |
1030 | 1093 | 41% | 2003-01-27 | Lost |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2000-12-06 | Lost |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2000-11-23 | Lost |
1098 | 1097 | 50% | 2000-10-29 | Won |
1097 | 890 | 77% | 2000-10-22 | Lost |
1063 | 1039 | 53% | 2000-10-01 | Won |
1092 | 1142 | 43% | 2000-03-04 | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1047.6 vs 1032.1 has a 52.23% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).