A Stiff Fight
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 37
Attacker wins (Japanese): 19
Defender wins (Gurkha): 18
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 897 | 952 | 42% | 2024-12-28 | Won |
| 1138 | 1126 | 52% | 2023-06-04 | Won |
| 1071 | 946 | 67% | 2022-11-10 | Lost |
| 1025 | 1009 | 52% | 2022-05-11 | Lost |
| 1077 | 1081 | 49% | 2021-10-18 | Lost |
| 937 | 960 | 47% | 2021-08-19 | Lost |
| 917 | 955 | 45% | 2021-03-11 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1086 | 51% | 2021-01-16 | Lost |
| 942 | 915 | 54% | 2020-06-07 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1095 | 51% | 2019-10-11 | Won |
| 1055 | 999 | 58% | 2019-01-26 | Won |
| 1058 | 1058 | 50% | 2018-03-24 | Won |
| 1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2017-05-28 | Won |
| 1105 | 1022 | 62% | 2017-01-10 | Lost |
| 1168 | 1139 | 54% | 2015-02-19 | Won |
| 1057 | 906 | 70% | 2014-10-11 | Won |
| 1038 | 1020 | 53% | 2014-01-13 | Lost |
| 1142 | 964 | 74% | 2013-12-22 | Lost |
| 1145 | 1057 | 62% | 2013-10-10 | Lost |
| 1057 | 976 | 61% | 2013-06-11 | Won |
| 870 | 944 | 40% | 2012-08-02 | Won |
| 1024 | 1087 | 41% | 2011-10-05 | Won |
| 1167 | 1022 | 70% | 2011-04-16 | Won |
| 958 | 1232 | 17% | 2011-03-10 | Lost |
| 963 | 995 | 45% | 2011-02-19 | Won |
| 983 | 1091 | 35% | 2010-02-20 | Won |
| 1125 | 1287 | 28% | 2008-08-30 | Lost |
| 997 | 1110 | 34% | 2008-08-24 | Lost |
| 1284 | 1030 | 81% | 2008-07-22 | Won |
| 920 | 931 | 48% | 2004-09-18 | Won |
| 1029 | 958 | 60% | 2000-10-28 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1057 | 48% | 1999-11-26 | Won |
| 1046 | 1108 | 41% | 1999-08-01 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1100 | 37% | 1999-07-31 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1005 | 54% | 1999-05-15 | Won |
| 893 | 1063 | 27% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
| 989 | 1138 | 30% | | Lost |
Attacking (19 wins) average ELOs: 1039.8 vs 1041.5 has a 49.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).