Scouts Out
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 172 (18 on the archive and 154 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 73
Defender wins (German): 98
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1027 | 994 | 55% | 2023-12-19 | Lost |
1020 | 982 | 55% | 2023-04-15 | Won |
1068 | 1063 | 51% | 2022-12-17 | Won |
1170 | 1170 | 50% | 2021-11-01 | Lost |
1060 | 1052 | 51% | 2020-06-22 | Lost |
1225 | 1169 | 58% | 2019-10-03 | Won |
1068 | 947 | 67% | 2017-03-11 | Won |
1051 | 932 | 66% | 2016-11-10 | Lost |
1068 | 1143 | 39% | 2014-01-19 | Lost |
1063 | 1040 | 53% | 2007-08-28 | Won |
1078 | 1010 | 60% | 2006-05-14 | Lost |
1030 | 1207 | 27% | 2006-01-01 | Lost |
1010 | 938 | 60% | 2003-09-14 | Won |
963 | 1019 | 42% | 1998-10-23 | Lost |
1046 | 1056 | 49% | 1998-08-20 | Lost |
984 | 994 | 49% | 1998-06-05 | Lost |
1097 | 890 | 77% | 1998-01-21 | Won |
1075 | 1165 | 37% | 1997-08-28 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1061.3 vs 1042.8 has a 52.65% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).