Mayhem in Manila
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14
Attacker wins (American): 7
Defender wins (Japanese): 7
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1081 | 1081 | 50% | 2024-06-21 | Lost |
1055 | 1047 | 51% | 2020-04-14 | Won |
1047 | 1055 | 49% | 2020-03-21 | Won |
1030 | 1214 | 26% | 2019-04-13 | Won |
849 | 1225 | 10% | 2016-05-23 | Won |
963 | 905 | 58% | 2016-02-13 | Lost |
1138 | 1125 | 52% | 2011-12-05 | Lost |
1043 | 1003 | 56% | 2011-10-06 | Won |
1033 | 1323 | 16% | 2011-06-06 | Won |
919 | 994 | 39% | 2003-07-30 | Lost |
1057 | 998 | 58% | 2002-04-28 | Won |
1085 | 1103 | 47% | 2001-10-07 | Lost |
1014 | 1021 | 49% | 2000-04-09 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1024.2 vs 1084.2 has a 41.45% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).