The Grand Canal
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11
Attacker wins (Japanese): 7
Defender wins (Chinese): 2
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (Japanese): 2
Defender wins (Chinese): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1118 | 1118 | 50% | 2023-11-19 | Won |
984 | 1050 | 41% | 2023-10-26 | Won |
955 | 1055 | 36% | 2022-08-07 | Won |
1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2016-07-24 | Won |
1298 | 1090 | 77% | 2015-07-04 | Won |
963 | 1149 | 26% | 2010-12-28 | Lost |
933 | 1028 | 37% | 2003-08-28 | Won |
1037 | 1097 | 41% | 1998-04-01 | Won |
1092 | 1087 | 51% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
1102 | 1102 | 50% | | Won |
1102 | 1102 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1061.1 vs 1087.8 has a 46.16% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).