The Grand Canal
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14
Attacker wins (Japanese): 9
Defender wins (Chinese): 3
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (Japanese): 2
Defender wins (Chinese): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1032 | 1031 | 50% | 2023-11-19 | Won |
| 1017 | 1025 | 49% | 2023-10-26 | Won |
| 948 | 759 | 75% | 2022-08-07 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2016-07-24 | Won |
| 1311 | 1092 | 78% | 2015-07-04 | Won |
| 963 | 1149 | 26% | 2010-12-28 | Lost |
| 997 | 1050 | 42% | 2003-08-28 | Won |
| 1219 | 1263 | 44% | 1999-07-10 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1026 | 52% | 1999-03-13 | Won |
| 1036 | 1097 | 41% | 1998-04-01 | Won |
| 1117 | 1117 | 50% | 1997-09-30 | Won |
| 1153 | 1082 | 60% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
| 1079 | 1079 | 50% | | Won |
| 1079 | 1079 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1077.1 vs 1066.9 has a 51.47% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).