Swan Song
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12
Attacker wins (French): 9
Defender wins (German): 3
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 877 | 877 | 50% | 2024-04-19 | Lost |
| 970 | 1125 | 29% | 2020-11-02 | Lost |
| 955 | 948 | 51% | 2020-04-03 | Won |
| 984 | 1099 | 34% | 2019-09-10 | Lost |
| 1110 | 961 | 70% | 2016-03-15 | Won |
| 1110 | 961 | 70% | 2016-03-15 | Won |
| 1110 | 961 | 70% | 2016-03-15 | Won |
| 1110 | 961 | 70% | 2016-03-15 | Won |
| 1110 | 961 | 70% | 2016-03-15 | Won |
| 1148 | 948 | 76% | 2004-03-13 | Won |
| 1120 | 1055 | 59% | 2003-07-10 | Won |
| 1132 | 1063 | 60% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1061.3 vs 993.3 has a 59.66% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).