Swan Song
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11
Attacker wins (French): 8
Defender wins (German): 3
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
907 | 907 | 50% | 2024-04-19 | Lost |
969 | 1138 | 27% | 2020-11-02 | Lost |
955 | 1055 | 36% | 2020-04-03 | Won |
1007 | 1074 | 40% | 2019-09-10 | Lost |
1110 | 972 | 69% | 2016-03-15 | Won |
1110 | 972 | 69% | 2016-03-15 | Won |
1110 | 972 | 69% | 2016-03-15 | Won |
1110 | 972 | 69% | 2016-03-15 | Won |
1110 | 972 | 69% | 2016-03-15 | Won |
1135 | 1055 | 61% | 2004-03-13 | Won |
1092 | 1087 | 51% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1055.9 vs 1016 has a 55.72% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).