Tavronitis Bridge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 85 (8 on the archive and 77 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 30
Defender wins (New Zealand): 55
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
955 | 917 | 55% | 2020-07-13 | Lost |
991 | 1181 | 25% | 2013-12-29 | Lost |
1098 | 1094 | 51% | 2012-03-23 | Lost |
1094 | 1098 | 49% | 2012-03-20 | Lost |
1026 | 965 | 59% | 2010-05-12 | Won |
1044 | 984 | 59% | 2009-07-10 | Won |
866 | 1019 | 29% | 2000-07-01 | Lost |
1063 | 872 | 75% | 1990-05-22 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1017.1 vs 1016.3 has a 50.13% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).