A Bloody Harvest
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 92
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 29
Defender wins (Polish): 61
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 1
Defender wins (Polish): 0
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 0
Defender wins (Polish): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|---|---|---|---|
1099 | 1124 | 46% | 2024-06-17 | Won |
1026 | 964 | 59% | 2024-01-13 | Lost |
1003 | 992 | 52% | 2023-08-16 | Won |
944 | 970 | 46% | 2023-06-25 | Lost |
863 | 872 | 49% | 2023-04-27 | Lost |
954 | 1015 | 41% | 2023-04-11 | Lost |
954 | 1068 | 34% | 2023-03-27 | Lost |
1041 | 1068 | 46% | 2023-03-26 | Lost |
943 | 943 | 50% | 2023-01-29 | Lost |
983 | 964 | 53% | 2022-12-29 | Lost |
969 | 851 | 66% | 2022-10-09 | Won |
979 | 1038 | 42% | 2022-05-16 | Won |
999 | 981 | 53% | 2022-02-26 | Won |
896 | 833 | 59% | 2022-01-07 | Lost |
919 | 892 | 54% | 2021-11-13 | Lost |
919 | 929 | 49% | 2021-08-06 | Lost |
1142 | 1009 | 68% | 2021-05-26 | Lost |
1142 | 1009 | 68% | 2021-05-26 | Lost |
1006 | 916 | 63% | 2021-05-26 | Lost |
1353 | 1211 | 69% | 2021-03-27 | Lost |
1006 | 1006 | 50% | 2021-02-05 | Lost |
912 | 1016 | 35% | 2020-11-15 | Lost |
957 | 1157 | 24% | 2020-11-02 | Lost |
1003 | 1177 | 27% | 2020-10-15 | Won |
943 | 943 | 50% | 2020-10-10 | Won |
974 | 1159 | 26% | 2019-09-03 | Lost |
1003 | 977 | 54% | 2019-03-07 | Won |
964 | 991 | 46% | 2019-02-18 | Lost |
1045 | 1051 | 49% | 2019-02-05 | Lost |
1075 | 964 | 65% | 2019-01-26 | Lost |
955 | 1045 | 37% | 2018-11-28 | Lost |
1109 | 1045 | 59% | 2018-11-28 | Lost |
954 | 1003 | 43% | 2018-08-31 | Won |
906 | 949 | 44% | 2018-05-31 | Lost |
1014 | 1003 | 52% | 2018-05-12 | Won |
873 | 911 | 45% | 2018-05-10 | Won |
951 | 1032 | 39% | 2018-04-21 | Won |
1109 | 1098 | 52% | 2017-12-06 | Won |
1047 | 1109 | 41% | 2017-11-25 | Lost |
1109 | 987 | 67% | 2017-09-05 | Won |
970 | 1158 | 25% | 2017-04-11 | Lost |
994 | 1027 | 45% | 2017-03-21 | Won |
1008 | 983 | 54% | 2016-12-28 | Lost |
983 | 1008 | 46% | 2016-12-15 | Lost |
1109 | 1186 | 39% | 2016-11-21 | Won |
986 | 851 | 69% | 2016-11-19 | Lost |
986 | 851 | 69% | 2016-11-19 | Lost |
847 | 855 | 49% | 2016-11-17 | Lost |
1051 | 932 | 66% | 2016-09-11 | Lost |
1055 | 1046 | 51% | 2016-08-15 | Lost |
881 | 1016 | 31% | 2016-08-08 | Won |
931 | 893 | 55% | 2016-08-08 | Won |
1109 | 966 | 69% | 2016-07-28 | Won |
1007 | 1007 | 50% | 2016-01-11 | Lost |
1307 | 1092 | 78% | 2015-12-05 | Won |
931 | 986 | 42% | 2015-11-10 | Lost |
1127 | 1113 | 52% | 2015-09-03 | Won |
1037 | 1075 | 45% | 2014-10-18 | Lost |
1158 | 1118 | 56% | 2014-07-20 | Won |
1174 | 1109 | 59% | 2014-06-08 | Lost |
1189 | 1087 | 64% | 2014-05-29 | Won |
1000 | 996 | 51% | 2014-04-02 | Lost |
1018 | 1225 | 23% | 2013-08-31 | Lost |
1109 | 1019 | 63% | 2013-07-27 | Lost |
1035 | 950 | 62% | 2013-07-26 | Lost |
1039 | 1105 | 41% | 2013-04-07 | Won |
1094 | 1107 | 48% | 2012-11-10 | Won |
1006 | 1068 | 41% | 2012-09-03 | Lost |
1010 | 1009 | 50% | 2012-07-19 | Lost |
991 | 1003 | 48% | 2012-07-12 | Won |
943 | 1137 | 25% | 2012-05-12 | Lost |
1001 | 937 | 59% | 2011-09-30 | Won |
1084 | 1030 | 58% | 2010-01-19 | Lost |
985 | 1003 | 47% | 2010-01-08 | Lost |
1115 | 946 | 73% | 2009-12-21 | Lost |
1180 | 1228 | 43% | 2009-03-29 | Lost |
1052 | 1012 | 56% | 2009-02-22 | Won |
1000 | 1062 | 41% | 2009-01-23 | Lost |
1083 | 1003 | 61% | 2008-05-28 | Lost |
1157 | 969 | 75% | 2008-02-24 | Lost |
902 | 1058 | 29% | 2007-09-26 | Lost |
1228 | 1131 | 64% | 2007-02-15 | Won |
1003 | 998 | 51% | 2006-11-01 | Lost |
1105 | 1032 | 60% | 2006-07-18 | Lost |
1059 | 1030 | 54% | 2006-01-01 | Lost |
940 | 1228 | 16% | 2004-01-20 | Lost |
994 | 1002 | 49% | 2002-09-01 | Lost |
1075 | 1075 | 50% | 1998-05-14 | Lost |
796 | 994 | 24% | 1998-04-05 | Lost |
977 | 1075 | 36% | 1997-01-04 | Lost |
976 | 1069 | 37% | 1996-10-01 | Won |
Attacking (30 wins) average ELOs: 1020.2 vs 1023.4 has a 49.54% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).