A Bloody Harvest
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 97
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 32
Defender wins (Polish): 63
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 1
Defender wins (Polish): 0
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 0
Defender wins (Polish): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 981 | 948 | 55% | 2024-12-19 | Lost |
| 989 | 983 | 51% | 2024-09-20 | Won |
| 1122 | 1128 | 49% | 2024-06-17 | Won |
| 1024 | 907 | 66% | 2024-01-13 | Lost |
| 948 | 992 | 44% | 2023-08-16 | Won |
| 1159 | 971 | 75% | 2023-06-25 | Lost |
| 864 | 941 | 39% | 2023-04-27 | Lost |
| 994 | 1015 | 47% | 2023-04-11 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1050 | 44% | 2023-03-27 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1050 | 49% | 2023-03-26 | Lost |
| 958 | 958 | 50% | 2023-01-29 | Lost |
| 1009 | 907 | 64% | 2022-12-29 | Lost |
| 990 | 837 | 71% | 2022-10-09 | Won |
| 979 | 1038 | 42% | 2022-05-16 | Won |
| 999 | 981 | 53% | 2022-02-26 | Won |
| 895 | 809 | 62% | 2022-01-07 | Lost |
| 949 | 848 | 64% | 2021-11-13 | Lost |
| 949 | 937 | 52% | 2021-08-06 | Lost |
| 1142 | 1009 | 68% | 2021-05-26 | Lost |
| 1049 | 916 | 68% | 2021-05-26 | Lost |
| 1142 | 1009 | 68% | 2021-05-26 | Lost |
| 1273 | 1218 | 58% | 2021-03-27 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1049 | 50% | 2021-02-05 | Lost |
| 912 | 982 | 40% | 2020-11-15 | Lost |
| 957 | 1149 | 25% | 2020-11-02 | Lost |
| 948 | 1200 | 19% | 2020-10-15 | Won |
| 942 | 942 | 50% | 2020-10-10 | Won |
| 973 | 1173 | 24% | 2019-09-03 | Lost |
| 959 | 964 | 49% | 2019-03-07 | Won |
| 907 | 991 | 38% | 2019-02-18 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1031 | 52% | 2019-02-05 | Lost |
| 1070 | 907 | 72% | 2019-01-26 | Lost |
| 956 | 1043 | 38% | 2018-11-28 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1043 | 64% | 2018-11-28 | Lost |
| 955 | 948 | 51% | 2018-08-31 | Won |
| 903 | 949 | 43% | 2018-05-31 | Lost |
| 1018 | 948 | 60% | 2018-05-12 | Won |
| 854 | 917 | 41% | 2018-05-10 | Won |
| 951 | 1062 | 35% | 2018-04-21 | Won |
| 1140 | 1098 | 56% | 2017-12-06 | Won |
| 1045 | 1140 | 37% | 2017-11-25 | Lost |
| 1140 | 963 | 73% | 2017-09-05 | Won |
| 971 | 1158 | 25% | 2017-04-11 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1032 | 46% | 2017-03-21 | Won |
| 1009 | 983 | 54% | 2016-12-28 | Lost |
| 983 | 1009 | 46% | 2016-12-15 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1186 | 43% | 2016-11-21 | Won |
| 986 | 851 | 69% | 2016-11-19 | Lost |
| 986 | 851 | 69% | 2016-11-19 | Lost |
| 847 | 855 | 49% | 2016-11-17 | Lost |
| 1045 | 938 | 65% | 2016-09-11 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1064 | 51% | 2016-08-15 | Lost |
| 881 | 1016 | 31% | 2016-08-08 | Won |
| 931 | 892 | 56% | 2016-08-08 | Won |
| 1140 | 961 | 74% | 2016-07-28 | Won |
| 1026 | 1026 | 50% | 2016-01-11 | Lost |
| 1310 | 1074 | 80% | 2015-12-05 | Won |
| 931 | 985 | 42% | 2015-11-10 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1113 | 52% | 2015-09-03 | Won |
| 1037 | 1075 | 45% | 2014-10-18 | Lost |
| 1158 | 1118 | 56% | 2014-07-20 | Won |
| 1173 | 1140 | 55% | 2014-06-08 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1087 | 54% | 2014-05-29 | Won |
| 1003 | 999 | 51% | 2014-04-02 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1223 | 24% | 2013-08-31 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1019 | 67% | 2013-07-27 | Lost |
| 1038 | 950 | 62% | 2013-07-26 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1105 | 41% | 2013-04-07 | Won |
| 1094 | 1107 | 48% | 2012-11-10 | Won |
| 1008 | 1067 | 42% | 2012-09-03 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1009 | 50% | 2012-07-19 | Lost |
| 991 | 948 | 56% | 2012-07-12 | Won |
| 943 | 1137 | 25% | 2012-05-12 | Lost |
| 1001 | 938 | 59% | 2011-09-30 | Won |
| 1084 | 1030 | 58% | 2010-01-19 | Lost |
| 1022 | 948 | 60% | 2010-01-08 | Lost |
| 919 | 946 | 46% | 2009-12-21 | Lost |
| 1180 | 1228 | 43% | 2009-03-29 | Lost |
| 1052 | 1012 | 56% | 2009-02-22 | Won |
| 1001 | 1062 | 41% | 2009-01-23 | Lost |
| 1094 | 948 | 70% | 2008-05-28 | Lost |
| 1149 | 969 | 74% | 2008-02-24 | Lost |
| 901 | 1043 | 31% | 2007-09-26 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1133 | 63% | 2007-02-15 | Won |
| 948 | 998 | 43% | 2006-11-01 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1032 | 60% | 2006-07-18 | Lost |
| 1059 | 1030 | 54% | 2006-01-01 | Lost |
| 940 | 1228 | 16% | 2004-01-20 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1046 | 53% | 2002-09-22 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1002 | 52% | 2002-09-01 | Lost |
| 900 | 1055 | 29% | 2000-06-25 | Won |
| 1118 | 1118 | 50% | 1998-05-14 | Lost |
| 790 | 1019 | 21% | 1998-04-05 | Lost |
| 977 | 1118 | 31% | 1997-01-04 | Lost |
| 976 | 1063 | 38% | 1996-10-01 | Won |
| 1138 | 914 | 78% | Won |
Attacking (33 wins) average ELOs: 1022.3 vs 1018.8 has a 50.5% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).