Ripe Pickings
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 77 (9 on the archive and 68 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 17
Defender wins (German): 59
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1012 | 833 | 74% | 2020-07-06 | Lost |
833 | 1012 | 26% | 2020-05-31 | Lost |
1144 | 856 | 84% | 2017-03-11 | Lost |
1144 | 856 | 84% | 2017-02-11 | Lost |
1035 | 1030 | 51% | 2013-05-11 | Tied |
967 | 967 | 50% | 2013-03-19 | Won |
1040 | 1063 | 47% | 2012-04-21 | Lost |
1043 | 1040 | 50% | 2010-02-19 | Won |
865 | 1022 | 29% | 2009-05-16 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1009.2 vs 964.3 has a 56.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).