Ripe Pickings
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 78 (10 on the archive and 68 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 17
Defender wins (German): 60
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 986 | 809 | 73% | 2020-07-06 | Lost |
| 809 | 986 | 27% | 2020-05-31 | Lost |
| 1140 | 857 | 84% | 2017-03-11 | Lost |
| 1140 | 857 | 84% | 2017-02-11 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1030 | 51% | 2013-05-11 | Tied |
| 969 | 969 | 50% | 2013-03-19 | Won |
| 1101 | 1056 | 56% | 2012-04-21 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1039 | 50% | 2010-02-19 | Won |
| 867 | 1011 | 30% | 2009-05-16 | Lost |
| 919 | 1055 | 31% | 1993-04-09 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1000.9 vs 966.9 has a 54.88% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).