Preparing the Way
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 60 (8 on the archive and 52 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 26
Defender wins (Russian): 34
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 946 | 1071 | 33% | 2022-02-20 | Won |
| 946 | 1071 | 33% | 2022-02-18 | Lost |
| 921 | 1014 | 37% | 2016-09-24 | Lost |
| 1044 | 983 | 59% | 1995-05-06 | Won |
| 1138 | 1046 | 63% | 1995-04-17 | Lost |
| 1160 | 1138 | 53% | | Won |
| 1160 | 1138 | 53% | | Won |
| 1160 | 1138 | 53% | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1059.4 vs 1074.9 has a 47.77% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).