First Matanikau
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 33 (10 on the archive and 23 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 18
Defender wins (Japanese): 15
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1012 | 1156 | 30% | 2024-03-09 | Lost |
949 | 915 | 55% | 2024-02-25 | Lost |
1096 | 1175 | 39% | 2024-01-08 | Lost |
954 | 954 | 50% | 2023-08-06 | Won |
890 | 896 | 49% | 2023-05-08 | Won |
1113 | 1127 | 48% | 2018-11-14 | Won |
1158 | 924 | 79% | 2017-11-17 | Lost |
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2012-10-07 | Lost |
1227 | 1021 | 77% | 2006-12-04 | Won |
1172 | 1142 | 54% | 2002-11-21 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1070.2 vs 1044.1 has a 53.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).