First Matanikau
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 6
Defender wins (Japanese): 5
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1100 | 1141 | 44% | 2024-03-09 | Lost |
942 | 915 | 54% | 2024-02-25 | Lost |
1093 | 1138 | 44% | 2024-01-08 | Lost |
977 | 977 | 50% | 2023-08-06 | Won |
1068 | 1068 | 50% | 2023-07-07 | Won |
900 | 968 | 40% | 2023-05-08 | Won |
1113 | 1127 | 48% | 2018-11-14 | Won |
1158 | 925 | 79% | 2017-11-17 | Lost |
1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2012-10-07 | Lost |
1228 | 1021 | 77% | 2006-12-04 | Won |
1073 | 1097 | 47% | 2002-11-21 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1067.3 vs 1042.3 has a 53.59% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).