The Hawk
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 100 (17 on the archive and 83 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 51
Defender wins (Japanese): 49
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
906 | 1060 | 29% | 2021-01-24 | Lost |
1133 | 1074 | 58% | 2020-11-16 | Lost |
1105 | 1105 | 50% | 2019-12-21 | Won |
1003 | 1177 | 27% | 2018-03-06 | Lost |
1003 | 1035 | 45% | 2016-12-20 | Won |
1054 | 994 | 59% | 2016-02-18 | Lost |
960 | 1055 | 37% | 2015-10-24 | Won |
1055 | 960 | 63% | 2015-10-17 | Won |
1228 | 869 | 89% | 2014-07-21 | Won |
1068 | 872 | 76% | 2013-01-19 | Won |
1068 | 872 | 76% | 2013-01-12 | Won |
872 | 1068 | 24% | 2012-12-27 | Won |
872 | 1068 | 24% | 2012-12-20 | Won |
1091 | 905 | 74% | 2009-06-25 | Won |
895 | 994 | 36% | 2005-04-13 | Won |
1138 | 943 | 75% | 2000-05-05 | Won |
991 | 1069 | 39% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1026 vs 1007.1 has a 52.72% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).