Killean's Red
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28
Attacker wins (British): 19
Defender wins (German): 9
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
964 | 1013 | 43% | 2024-01-05 | Won |
980 | 967 | 52% | 2022-12-07 | Won |
1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2021-01-31 | Lost |
1055 | 1183 | 32% | 2019-09-03 | Won |
945 | 1068 | 33% | 2019-05-26 | Won |
1019 | 1035 | 48% | 2018-05-11 | Won |
1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2016-09-17 | Lost |
1100 | 1030 | 60% | 2015-04-30 | Won |
1166 | 1307 | 31% | 2014-12-03 | Won |
973 | 949 | 53% | 2012-08-31 | Lost |
870 | 1055 | 26% | 2011-01-30 | Won |
1013 | 990 | 53% | 2011-01-05 | Lost |
1055 | 969 | 62% | 2009-05-15 | Won |
1089 | 1123 | 45% | 2009-03-08 | Won |
1016 | 1016 | 50% | 2008-10-14 | Won |
967 | 967 | 50% | 2006-12-06 | Lost |
1046 | 1060 | 48% | 2005-11-05 | Won |
1037 | 1205 | 28% | 2005-08-27 | Lost |
1135 | 1055 | 61% | 2004-01-10 | Won |
830 | 969 | 31% | 2001-05-26 | Won |
830 | 969 | 31% | 2001-05-26 | Won |
969 | 830 | 69% | 2001-05-26 | Lost |
1102 | 1000 | 64% | 1998-12-12 | Won |
890 | 1098 | 23% | 1998-05-16 | Won |
977 | 1097 | 33% | 1997-05-06 | Lost |
1097 | 1073 | 53% | 1997-04-22 | Lost |
991 | 1087 | 37% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
1102 | 1102 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (19 wins) average ELOs: 1015 vs 1050.6 has a 44.88% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).