Panthers in the Mist
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 130 (15 on the archive and 115 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 61
Defender wins (German (SS)): 69
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2023-11-12 | Lost |
1008 | 1008 | 50% | 2023-02-28 | Lost |
886 | 980 | 37% | 2022-11-02 | Lost |
1026 | 989 | 55% | 2022-10-12 | Won |
1127 | 1113 | 52% | 2019-10-16 | Lost |
1133 | 1095 | 55% | 2016-12-02 | Lost |
917 | 1108 | 25% | 2016-10-02 | Lost |
977 | 895 | 62% | 2016-05-21 | Lost |
1172 | 1142 | 54% | 2012-10-18 | Won |
919 | 919 | 50% | 2009-03-14 | Won |
919 | 1095 | 27% | 2009-01-30 | Lost |
1003 | 1227 | 22% | 2008-09-30 | Lost |
1227 | 1131 | 63% | 2008-05-10 | Won |
949 | 994 | 44% | 2004-10-30 | Lost |
890 | 1097 | 23% | 1997-12-07 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1018.9 vs 1061.6 has a 43.89% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).