Panthers in the Mist
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23
Attacker wins (American): 10
Defender wins (German (SS)): 13
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-11-12 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1026 | 50% | 2023-02-28 | Lost |
| 854 | 994 | 31% | 2022-11-02 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1022 | 55% | 2022-10-12 | Won |
| 1080 | 1045 | 55% | 2022-01-27 | Won |
| 1127 | 1113 | 52% | 2019-10-16 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1099 | 55% | 2016-12-02 | Lost |
| 968 | 1017 | 43% | 2016-10-02 | Lost |
| 958 | 897 | 59% | 2016-05-21 | Lost |
| 1118 | 1118 | 50% | 2012-10-18 | Won |
| 984 | 1110 | 33% | 2010-04-02 | Lost |
| 919 | 919 | 50% | 2009-03-14 | Won |
| 919 | 948 | 46% | 2009-01-30 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1228 | 21% | 2008-09-30 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1133 | 63% | 2008-05-10 | Won |
| 949 | 966 | 48% | 2004-10-30 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1055 | 59% | 2001-10-14 | Won |
| 1064 | 1046 | 53% | 2001-06-17 | Won |
| 890 | 1098 | 23% | 1997-12-07 | Won |
| 1138 | 1160 | 47% | | Lost |
| 1160 | 1138 | 53% | | Won |
| 1138 | 1160 | 47% | | Lost |
| 1160 | 1138 | 53% | | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1047 vs 1066 has a 47.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).