To the Rescue
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 139 (22 on the archive and 117 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 71
Defender wins (Russian): 68
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
980 | 930 | 57% | 2023-02-09 | Won |
1047 | 1024 | 53% | 2022-03-01 | Won |
1055 | 915 | 69% | 2021-10-16 | Won |
1037 | 1307 | 17% | 2019-05-31 | Lost |
1204 | 1019 | 74% | 2019-05-03 | Lost |
1055 | 1029 | 54% | 2019-05-03 | Won |
1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2017-08-01 | Won |
1095 | 1133 | 45% | 2015-12-12 | Won |
1036 | 1019 | 52% | 2015-02-06 | Won |
1013 | 1011 | 50% | 2012-02-27 | Won |
1062 | 1127 | 41% | 2009-08-25 | Lost |
1090 | 905 | 74% | 2008-01-30 | Won |
1204 | 919 | 84% | 2008-01-27 | Lost |
1227 | 1003 | 78% | 2007-09-16 | Won |
916 | 1076 | 28% | 2006-07-30 | Lost |
1046 | 1060 | 48% | 2006-02-05 | Won |
1204 | 925 | 83% | 2006-01-12 | Lost |
925 | 904 | 53% | 2006-01-12 | Won |
614 | 1097 | 6% | 2003-12-13 | Lost |
1063 | 1225 | 28% | 2002-04-27 | Lost |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2001-01-18 | Won |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2000-01-10 | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1053.6 vs 1042.5 has a 51.6% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).