The Penetration of Rostov
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20
Attacker wins (German): 12
Defender wins (Russian): 8
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1128 | 966 | 72% | 2024-03-09 | Won |
955 | 1055 | 36% | 2021-07-21 | Won |
984 | 1050 | 41% | 2021-05-03 | Lost |
1137 | 1133 | 51% | 2020-10-06 | Won |
1017 | 1000 | 52% | 2020-09-12 | Won |
923 | 1163 | 20% | 2020-08-21 | Lost |
1123 | 1163 | 44% | 2020-04-04 | Won |
971 | 1040 | 40% | 2019-02-25 | Lost |
1284 | 1154 | 68% | 2018-09-18 | Won |
938 | 1046 | 35% | 2018-01-21 | Won |
969 | 1058 | 37% | 2017-06-23 | Won |
962 | 1110 | 30% | 2017-06-19 | Lost |
1020 | 969 | 57% | 2017-05-16 | Lost |
1066 | 964 | 64% | 2014-12-28 | Lost |
1022 | 1249 | 21% | 2014-12-15 | Won |
954 | 1059 | 35% | 2014-11-19 | Won |
1067 | 936 | 68% | 2012-07-16 | Won |
827 | 933 | 35% | 2011-06-04 | Won |
949 | 973 | 47% | 2011-02-11 | Lost |
1087 | 985 | 64% | 1998-10-01 | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1019.2 vs 1050.3 has a 45.53% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).