Fighting Back
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 71 (15 on the archive and 56 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 36
Defender wins (German): 34
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 955 | 948 | 51% | 2023-03-01 | Won |
| 1125 | 970 | 71% | 2022-02-28 | Lost |
| 1148 | 948 | 76% | 2021-06-26 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1002 | 54% | 2020-09-12 | Won |
| 1183 | 1022 | 72% | 2020-08-09 | Tied |
| 890 | 1216 | 13% | 2017-03-13 | Lost |
| 1055 | 985 | 60% | 2015-06-28 | Won |
| 937 | 976 | 44% | 2015-06-19 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1094 | 68% | 2014-02-25 | Lost |
| 1053 | 948 | 65% | 2014-02-12 | Won |
| 995 | 1011 | 48% | 2010-02-15 | Lost |
| 1092 | 1064 | 54% | 2002-02-03 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1032 | 54% | 2000-09-01 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1100 | 44% | 1999-11-01 | Lost |
| 1055 | 949 | 65% | 1995-07-30 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1057.8 vs 1017.7 has a 55.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).