Round One
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 148 (25 on the archive and 123 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 66
Defender wins (Polish): 82
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1082 | 1099 | 48% | 2024-08-05 | Lost |
954 | 1003 | 43% | 2023-01-08 | Won |
1147 | 1016 | 68% | 2021-11-08 | Lost |
857 | 797 | 59% | 2021-10-12 | Lost |
1078 | 1003 | 61% | 2021-06-26 | Lost |
1007 | 1007 | 50% | 2021-02-01 | Lost |
1211 | 1003 | 77% | 2020-09-19 | Lost |
994 | 1027 | 45% | 2020-01-13 | Lost |
1040 | 1063 | 47% | 2019-12-10 | Lost |
1109 | 1005 | 65% | 2019-04-30 | Lost |
943 | 1051 | 35% | 2015-11-19 | Lost |
986 | 1152 | 28% | 2015-09-12 | Won |
1000 | 1138 | 31% | 2015-08-27 | Lost |
1211 | 1013 | 76% | 2015-02-16 | Won |
1069 | 1010 | 58% | 2013-05-24 | Won |
855 | 1090 | 21% | 2011-10-04 | Lost |
984 | 1091 | 35% | 2010-04-30 | Won |
865 | 1022 | 29% | 2010-04-05 | Lost |
1180 | 1228 | 43% | 2009-05-03 | Lost |
1074 | 1029 | 56% | 2007-11-17 | Won |
1311 | 1051 | 82% | 2003-07-25 | Won |
989 | 1069 | 39% | 1999-10-01 | Won |
1066 | 1063 | 50% | 1999-03-18 | Won |
1188 | 1075 | 66% | 1999-03-06 | Won |
1072 | 1000 | 60% | 1998-11-17 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1050.9 vs 1044.2 has a 50.96% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).