Round One
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 154 (29 on the archive and 125 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 69
Defender wins (Polish): 85
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1094 | 1094 | 50% | 2024-08-05 | Lost |
945 | 980 | 45% | 2023-01-08 | Won |
1110 | 966 | 70% | 2021-11-08 | Lost |
913 | 796 | 66% | 2021-10-12 | Lost |
1189 | 980 | 77% | 2021-06-26 | Lost |
1233 | 956 | 83% | 2020-09-19 | Lost |
993 | 1051 | 42% | 2020-01-13 | Lost |
1061 | 1072 | 48% | 2019-12-10 | Lost |
1193 | 1004 | 75% | 2019-04-30 | Lost |
998 | 1062 | 41% | 2015-11-19 | Lost |
975 | 1144 | 27% | 2015-09-12 | Won |
1000 | 1074 | 40% | 2015-08-27 | Lost |
1233 | 1027 | 77% | 2015-02-16 | Won |
1048 | 996 | 57% | 2013-05-24 | Won |
987 | 1156 | 27% | 2011-10-04 | Lost |
983 | 1091 | 35% | 2010-04-30 | Won |
866 | 1010 | 30% | 2010-04-05 | Lost |
1180 | 1228 | 43% | 2009-05-03 | Lost |
1117 | 1028 | 63% | 2007-11-17 | Won |
1270 | 1049 | 78% | 2003-07-25 | Won |
1041 | 1039 | 50% | 2001-11-02 | Won |
1049 | 1223 | 27% | 2000-06-15 | Lost |
1013 | 855 | 71% | 2000-02-04 | Lost |
969 | 1048 | 39% | 1999-10-01 | Won |
1127 | 1113 | 52% | 1999-03-26 | Won |
1082 | 1072 | 51% | 1999-03-18 | Won |
1192 | 1111 | 61% | 1999-03-06 | Won |
712 | 1151 | 7% | 1999-01-05 | Lost |
1072 | 959 | 66% | 1998-11-17 | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1056.7 vs 1046 has a 51.54% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).