On the Kokoda Trail
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 135 (17 on the archive and 118 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 89
Defender wins (Australian): 46
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
933 | 1028 | 37% | 2022-01-25 | Won |
972 | 1298 | 13% | 2021-01-20 | Lost |
984 | 1050 | 41% | 2019-11-11 | Lost |
1127 | 1113 | 52% | 2018-10-02 | Won |
1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2018-06-03 | Won |
1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2017-04-11 | Lost |
1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2017-03-21 | Won |
1022 | 1249 | 21% | 2016-02-15 | Won |
1030 | 1138 | 35% | 2015-12-01 | Won |
1055 | 955 | 64% | 2015-08-11 | Won |
1066 | 964 | 64% | 2012-09-02 | Won |
1120 | 1093 | 54% | 2011-02-19 | Won |
1008 | 1029 | 47% | 2010-01-25 | Won |
1135 | 997 | 69% | 2006-10-26 | Won |
1046 | 1068 | 47% | 2004-07-10 | Won |
990 | 1013 | 47% | 1993-03-28 | Won |
1102 | 1000 | 64% | | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1053.2 vs 1077 has a 46.58% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).