Point of No Return
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 68 (8 on the archive and 60 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 38
Defender wins (New Zealand): 30
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2021-04-11 | Won |
991 | 1045 | 42% | 2020-05-29 | Won |
993 | 1026 | 45% | 2019-04-16 | Won |
1012 | 1012 | 50% | 2019-01-11 | Lost |
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2017-04-09 | Lost |
1095 | 924 | 73% | 2015-03-01 | Lost |
1108 | 1006 | 64% | 2011-04-01 | Lost |
925 | 904 | 53% | 2009-09-19 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1048.3 vs 1022.4 has a 53.72% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).