A Bridgehead Too Wet
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 75 (10 on the archive and 65 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 41
Defender wins (British): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1228 | 1228 | 50% | 2024-09-25 | Won |
| 988 | 988 | 50% | 2021-01-05 | Won |
| 959 | 1035 | 39% | 2020-05-02 | Won |
| 1021 | 1023 | 50% | 2019-01-21 | Lost |
| 948 | 1007 | 42% | 2018-08-04 | Lost |
| 1149 | 1023 | 67% | 2016-07-10 | Won |
| 1066 | 1017 | 57% | 2014-02-27 | Won |
| 1017 | 1066 | 43% | 2013-08-17 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1036 | 50% | 2008-02-02 | Lost |
| 1118 | 1193 | 39% | 1995-08-17 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1053 vs 1061.6 has a 48.76% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).