The Old Town
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 104 (17 on the archive and 87 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 53
Defender wins (Partisan): 51
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 987 | 1008 | 47% | 2021-05-26 | Won |
| 1108 | 911 | 76% | 2020-02-16 | Won |
| 1025 | 1056 | 46% | 2019-01-01 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1005 | 55% | 2018-03-20 | Won |
| 1080 | 992 | 62% | 2018-03-19 | Lost |
| 1008 | 958 | 57% | 2018-03-14 | Lost |
| 1233 | 984 | 81% | 2014-07-05 | Won |
| 941 | 1054 | 34% | 2013-11-02 | Won |
| 1053 | 1042 | 52% | 2011-08-28 | Won |
| 976 | 920 | 58% | 2010-02-25 | Won |
| 945 | 938 | 51% | 2008-07-16 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1050 | 57% | 2006-01-29 | Won |
| 927 | 908 | 53% | 2004-06-09 | Won |
| 833 | 1177 | 12% | 2002-06-10 | Won |
| 1118 | 1177 | 42% | 1995-03-10 | Won |
| 867 | 1031 | 28% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
| 1036 | 1018 | 53% | | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1016.2 vs 1013.5 has a 50.4% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).