Sylvan Death
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 107 (18 on the archive and 89 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 73
Defender wins (Partisan): 34
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 970 | 964 | 51% | 2024-10-20 | Won |
| 1013 | 921 | 63% | 2018-11-04 | Won |
| 1025 | 1009 | 52% | 2018-04-28 | Won |
| 1005 | 1094 | 37% | 2017-01-24 | Won |
| 965 | 961 | 51% | 2016-12-30 | Lost |
| 910 | 921 | 48% | 2016-12-10 | Won |
| 1010 | 1228 | 22% | 2014-06-29 | Lost |
| 1022 | 951 | 60% | 2014-01-01 | Won |
| 917 | 975 | 42% | 2012-06-17 | Won |
| 1055 | 1111 | 42% | 2011-11-12 | Won |
| 1026 | 1063 | 45% | 2011-04-12 | Won |
| 919 | 977 | 42% | 2010-02-08 | Won |
| 1047 | 1098 | 43% | 2009-01-01 | Lost |
| 965 | 1060 | 37% | 2008-08-06 | Won |
| 1075 | 1047 | 54% | 1999-06-19 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1046 | 59% | 1994-10-22 | Won |
| 1138 | 844 | 84% | | Lost |
| 1138 | 1160 | 47% | | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1017.2 vs 1023.9 has a 49.04% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).